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PotD 07-10-26 - Variant

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Tuesday, 4 August 2026, at 7:42 a.m.

In Response To: Position of the day 07-10-26 - Rollout (Stick)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 108
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 105
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-B--BaD-D---bC--a--dcbb---:0:0:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Original position

1.Rollout113/8eq: +0.238
Player:
Opponent:
57.22% (G:1.55% B:0.02%)
42.78% (G:1.22% B:0.02%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.234...+0.242) - [100.0%]
Duration: 48.8 seconds
2.Rollout18/3eq: +0.227 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:
57.01% (G:1.39% B:0.01%)
42.99% (G:1.08% B:0.02%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.223...+0.231) - [0.0%]
Duration: 48.1 seconds
3.Rollout213/11 8/5* eq: +0.192 (-0.046)
Player:
Opponent:
54.54% (G:6.48% B:0.09%)
45.46% (G:16.53% B:0.34%)
Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.184...+0.199) - [0.0%]
Duration: 9.2 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Stick's rollout of the original position.

Below are variants. Altogether, three positions with three different best plays represented.

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 108
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 101
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BB--aD-D---bC--a--dcbb---:0:0:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 1: Blue's 4pt is changed to her 2pt

1.Rollout18/3eq: +0.372
Player:
Opponent:
61.18% (G:1.93% B:0.02%)
38.82% (G:1.62% B:0.03%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.365...+0.379) - [100.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 06 seconds
2.Rollout113/8eq: +0.353 (-0.019)
Player:
Opponent:
60.44% (G:1.81% B:0.02%)
39.56% (G:1.65% B:0.04%)
Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.345...+0.361) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 48 seconds
3.Rollout16/4 6/3eq: +0.328 (-0.044)
Player:
Opponent:
59.56% (G:1.79% B:0.02%)
40.44% (G:1.89% B:0.03%)
Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.321...+0.336) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 12 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller






White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 106
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 105
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-B--BaD-D---bC--a--dcb-b--:0:0:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 2: White's 3pt is changed to her 2pt

1.Rollout113/11 8/5* eq: +0.201
Player:
Opponent:
54.55% (G:6.60% B:0.09%)
45.45% (G:15.80% B:0.26%)
Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.194...+0.209) - [100.0%]
Duration: 50.8 seconds
2.Rollout113/8eq: +0.143 (-0.058)
Player:
Opponent:
54.16% (G:1.29% B:0.02%)
45.84% (G:1.26% B:0.02%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.136...+0.150) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 14 seconds
3.Rollout18/5* 6/4eq: +0.134 (-0.067)
Player:
Opponent:
52.84% (G:5.42% B:0.07%)
47.16% (G:11.92% B:0.10%)
Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.127...+0.142) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 23 seconds
4.Rollout18/3eq: +0.130 (-0.071)
Player:
Opponent:
53.88% (G:1.47% B:0.02%)
46.12% (G:1.42% B:0.02%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.123...+0.138) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 09 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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