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PotD 07-16-26 - Variant

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Tuesday, 4 August 2026, at 2:25 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 07-16-26 - Rollout (Stick)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 130
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 110
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-B-BabEB----bB--B--bbcc---:0:0:1:54:0:0:3:0:10
Original position

1.Rollout16/2 6/1eq: -0.047
Player:
Opponent:		49.37% (G:7.54% B:0.12%)
50.63% (G:15.01% B:0.49%)		Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.053...-0.041) - [72.9%]
Duration: 2 minutes 46 seconds
2.Rollout116/7eq: -0.050 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		49.45% (G:7.62% B:0.14%)
50.55% (G:12.59% B:0.27%)		Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.055...-0.045) - [27.1%]
Duration: 2 minutes 14 seconds
3.Rollout27/3 7/2eq: -0.133 (-0.086)
Player:
Opponent:		47.63% (G:8.17% B:0.14%)
52.37% (G:15.06% B:0.53%)		Conf.: ± 0.012 (-0.145...-0.121) - [0.0%]
Duration: 33.2 seconds
4.Rollout213/4* eq: -0.206 (-0.159)
Player:
Opponent:		45.32% (G:9.38% B:0.18%)
54.68% (G:21.62% B:0.72%)		Conf.: ± 0.017 (-0.223...-0.189) - [0.0%]
Duration: 27.4 seconds
5.Rollout27/2 6/2eq: -0.314 (-0.267)
Player:
Opponent:		43.64% (G:10.53% B:0.21%)
56.36% (G:21.38% B:0.59%)		Conf.: ± 0.011 (-0.324...-0.303) - [0.0%]
Duration: 25.3 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Stick's rollout of the original position.

Below is a "contrasting" variant.

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 133
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 110
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-B-BabEB----bB--B--cbcb---:0:0:1:54:0:0:3:0:10
Variant: White's 3pt spare is on her 6pt

1.Rollout116/7eq: -0.050
Player:
Opponent:		49.35% (G:8.53% B:0.16%)
50.65% (G:13.07% B:0.29%)		Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.056...-0.045) - [100.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 44 seconds
2.Rollout16/2 6/1eq: -0.066 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		48.61% (G:7.82% B:0.11%)
51.39% (G:15.74% B:0.52%)		Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.073...-0.060) - [0.0%]
Duration: 9 minutes 36 seconds
3.Rollout27/3 7/2eq: -0.165 (-0.115)
Player:
Opponent:		46.57% (G:8.81% B:0.13%)
53.43% (G:15.97% B:0.53%)		Conf.: ± 0.012 (-0.177...-0.153) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 57 seconds
4.Rollout213/4* eq: -0.253 (-0.202)
Player:
Opponent:		44.16% (G:8.83% B:0.14%)
55.84% (G:21.87% B:0.76%)		Conf.: ± 0.011 (-0.264...-0.241) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 27 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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