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PotD 07-17-26 - Variants

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Tuesday, 4 August 2026, at 7:56 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 07-17-26 - Rollout (Stick)

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 129 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 147 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=---a-CCbC---ACA--bbe-ba--A:0:0:1:52:0:0:3:0:10
Original position

1.	Rollout1	Bar/20 5/3*	eq: -0.196
	Player: Opponent: 45.51% (G:8.54% B:0.38%) 54.49% (G:19.24% B:1.22%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.203...-0.190) - [99.9%] Duration: 2 minutes 43 seconds
2.	Rollout1	Bar/23 8/3*	eq: -0.212 (-0.015)
	Player: Opponent: 45.41% (G:13.30% B:0.64%) 54.59% (G:23.12% B:1.52%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.219...-0.205) - [0.1%] Duration: 2 minutes 26 seconds
3.	Rollout2	Bar/20 14/12	eq: -0.246 (-0.049)
	Player: Opponent: 44.37% (G:6.84% B:0.32%) 55.63% (G:14.95% B:0.27%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.259...-0.232) - [0.0%] Duration: 44.0 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Stick's rollout of the original position.

Below are contrasting variants. Altogether, three positions with three different best plays.

Nack

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 133 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 147 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=---a-CCbC---ACA-bb-e-ba--A:0:0:1:52:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 1: White's 7pt is changed to her 9pt

1.	Rollout1	Bar/23 8/3*	eq: -0.163
	Player: Opponent: 46.89% (G:12.87% B:0.61%) 53.11% (G:21.17% B:1.36%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.170...-0.155) - [97.6%] Duration: 23 minutes 55 seconds
2.	Rollout1	Bar/20 5/3*	eq: -0.172 (-0.010)
	Player: Opponent: 46.48% (G:8.67% B:0.39%) 53.52% (G:19.27% B:1.18%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.178...-0.166) - [2.4%] Duration: 27 minutes 08 seconds
3.	Rollout2	Bar/20 14/12	eq: -0.203 (-0.041)
	Player: Opponent: 45.89% (G:7.85% B:0.33%) 54.11% (G:15.62% B:0.26%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.217...-0.189) - [0.0%] Duration: 4 minutes 49 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 129 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 143 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=---a-CCbC-A-AC---bbe-ba--A:0:0:1:52:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 2: Blue's 14pt blot is on his 10pt

1.	Rollout1	Bar/20 12/10	eq: -0.187
	Player: Opponent: 45.92% (G:7.07% B:0.30%) 54.08% (G:13.34% B:0.21%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.193...-0.181) - [78.6%] Duration: 10 minutes 04 seconds
2.	Rollout1	Bar/20 5/3*	eq: -0.191 (-0.004)
	Player: Opponent: 45.77% (G:9.94% B:0.49%) 54.23% (G:21.08% B:1.37%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.197...-0.184) - [21.4%] Duration: 10 minutes 17 seconds
3.	Rollout2	Bar/23 8/3*	eq: -0.237 (-0.050)
	Player: Opponent: 44.53% (G:14.09% B:0.69%) 55.47% (G:24.03% B:1.58%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.250...-0.224) - [0.0%] Duration: 2 minutes 13 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 25814131 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 25814131 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

• Position of the Day 07-17-26
  Stick -- Saturday, 1 August 2026, at 9:28 a.m.
  • Position of the Day 07-17-26
    ah_clem -- Saturday, 1 August 2026, at 1:22 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 07-17-26
    Elizabeth (erichktn @ DG) -- Saturday, 1 August 2026, at 1:27 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 07-17-26
    Francesco -- Saturday, 1 August 2026, at 1:57 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 07-17-26
    John O'Hagan -- Saturday, 1 August 2026, at 2:32 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 07-17-26
    Chuck Bower -- Sunday, 2 August 2026, at 2:06 a.m.
  • Position of the Day 07-17-26 - Rollout
    Stick -- Monday, 3 August 2026, at 6:27 a.m.
    • PotD 07-17-26 - Variants
      Nack Ballard -- Tuesday, 4 August 2026, at 7:56 p.m.