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Who cares XII ? - Variant

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Saturday, 15 August 2026, at 10:00 a.m.

In Response To: Who cares XII ? - Rollout and question (pierrez)





White is Joueur 2

score: 0
pip: 154
1 point match
pip: 145
score: 0

Blue is Joueur 1
XGID=--b-B-D-C--BdB---d-cAAb---:0:0:1:66:0:0:0:1:10
Original position

1.Rollout121/9 20/8eq: +0,491
Player:
Opponent:		74,55% (G:18,71% B:1,42%)
25,45% (G:3,78% B:0,24%)		Conf.: ± 0,004 (+0,487...+0,495) - [100,0%]
Duration: 26 minutes 06 seconds
2.Rollout113/7(2) 11/5(2)eq: +0,409 (-0,082)
Player:
Opponent:		70,43% (G:30,25% B:6,83%)
29,57% (G:6,13% B:0,65%)		Conf.: ± 0,006 (+0,403...+0,414) - [0,0%]
Duration: 24 minutes 34 seconds
3.4-ply21/15 20/14 11/5(2)eq: +0,391 (-0,100)
Player:
Opponent:		69,53% (G:17,02% B:0,78%)
30,47% (G:6,01% B:0,23%)
4.4-ply20/8 11/5(2)eq: +0,380 (-0,111)
Player:
Opponent:		69,02% (G:19,82% B:0,98%)
30,98% (G:5,30% B:0,17%)
5.4-ply21/15 20/14 13/7(2)eq: +0,375 (-0,116)
Player:
Opponent:		68,75% (G:13,98% B:0,70%)
31,25% (G:6,58% B:0,23%)
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Above is Stick's rollout of the original position.

Below is a cusp variant.

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 149
1 point match
pip: 145
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--b-B-D-C--BdB---c-cAAc---:0:0:1:66:0:0:0:1:10
Variant: A White 8pt spare is on her 3pt

1.Rollout113/7(2) 11/5(2)eq: +0.498
Player:
Opponent:		74.92% (G:32.01% B:7.46%)
25.08% (G:4.65% B:0.41%)		Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.496...+0.501) - [52.5%]
Duration: 10 minutes 03 seconds
2.Rollout121/9 20/8eq: +0.498 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:		74.91% (G:16.33% B:1.27%)
25.09% (G:3.81% B:0.27%)		Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.496...+0.500) - [47.5%]
Duration: 9 minutes 57 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 85760739
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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