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Cojones follow up

Posted By: ah_clem
Date: Saturday, 15 August 2026, at 6:49 p.m.

In Response To: Cojones follow up (ah_clem)

As Stick pointed out in the main thread, when blue fans, white is TG by a fair bit.

TG or cash means we don't have to eat an 8 cube making the previous position similar to a "last roll" cube so we can ship it earlier than normal. I'm not exactly sure how the TG affects things.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 91
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 91
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BBCBaBB--a-----aA-ccababA:2:-1:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10
White on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 82.77% (G:35.72% B:0.87%) 83.35% (G:35.64% B:0.80%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 17.23% (G:3.48% B:0.12%) 16.65% (G:4.01% B:0.17%)
Cubeless Equities +0.985 +1.979
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+1.060±0.004 (+1.056..+1.064)
Redouble/Take:+1.893 (+0.834)±0.007 (+1.886..+1.901)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (-0.060)
Best Cube action: Too good to redouble / Pass
Percentage of wrong take needed to make the double decision right: 6.7%
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 50.3 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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