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PotD 08-02-26 - Four best plays

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Wednesday, 19 August 2026, at 6:24 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 08-02-26 - Rollout (Stick)

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 156 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 148 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=aA--a-DAD---dC---c-dbA--A-:0:0:1:11:0:0:3:0:10
Original position

1.	Rollout1	6/4*(2)	eq: +0.010
	Player: Opponent: 49.47% (G:18.16% B:0.48%) 50.53% (G:14.57% B:0.79%) Conf.: ± 0.011 (-0.001...+0.021) - [100.0%] Duration: 1 minute 57 seconds
2.	Rollout1	24/23 8/7 6/5(2)	eq: -0.023 (-0.033)
	Player: Opponent: 49.42% (G:13.78% B:0.45%) 50.58% (G:14.04% B:0.63%) Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.033...-0.013) - [0.0%] Duration: 2 minutes 03 seconds
3.	Rollout2	8/7(2) 6/5(2)	eq: -0.028 (-0.037)
	Player: Opponent: 49.30% (G:14.68% B:0.45%) 50.70% (G:14.20% B:0.73%) Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.043...-0.012) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 04 seconds
4.	Rollout2	24/21 8/7	eq: -0.048 (-0.058)
	Player: Opponent: 48.32% (G:10.64% B:0.27%) 51.68% (G:9.36% B:0.37%) Conf.: ± 0.012 (-0.060...-0.036) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 07 seconds
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Stick's rollout of the original position.

Below are variants. Altogether, four positions with four different best plays.

Nack

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 149 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 148 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=aA--a-DAD---cC---bbdbA--A-:0:0:1:11:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 1: White has made her 7pt

1.	Rollout1	24/21 8/7	eq: -0.221
	Player: Opponent: 43.42% (G:8.87% B:0.22%) 56.58% (G:9.54% B:0.36%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.236...-0.205) - [100.0%] Duration: 4 minutes 27 seconds
2.	Rollout1	6/4*(2)	eq: -0.264 (-0.044)
	Player: Opponent: 42.90% (G:14.74% B:0.39%) 57.10% (G:17.47% B:1.05%) Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.280...-0.248) - [0.0%] Duration: 3 minutes 52 seconds
3.	Rollout1	8/7(2) 6/5(2)	eq: -0.305 (-0.085)
	Player: Opponent: 42.48% (G:11.81% B:0.36%) 57.52% (G:17.08% B:0.87%) Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.321...-0.290) - [0.0%] Duration: 12 minutes 43 seconds
4.	Rollout1	24/23 8/7 6/5(2)	eq: -0.308 (-0.088)
	Player: Opponent: 42.38% (G:11.73% B:0.35%) 57.62% (G:17.41% B:0.81%) Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.325...-0.292) - [0.0%] Duration: 3 minutes 54 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 7828327 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 171 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 148 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=aAa-a-DAD---dC---b-dbA--A-:0:0:1:11:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 2: White's 8pt spare is on her 23pt

1.	Rollout1	24/23 8/7 6/5(2)	eq: +0.255
	Player: Opponent: 56.04% (G:17.56% B:0.75%) 43.96% (G:12.37% B:0.57%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.247...+0.264) - [99.8%] Duration: 27 minutes 07 seconds
2.	Rollout1	8/7(2) 6/5(2)	eq: +0.238 (-0.017)
	Player: Opponent: 55.51% (G:17.93% B:0.78%) 44.49% (G:12.50% B:0.61%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.230...+0.247) - [0.2%] Duration: 27 minutes 24 seconds
3.	Rollout2	6/4*(2)	eq: +0.152 (-0.104)
	Player: Opponent: 52.88% (G:19.61% B:0.89%) 47.12% (G:13.71% B:0.81%) Conf.: ± 0.018 (+0.134...+0.170) - [0.0%] Duration: 11 minutes 03 seconds
4.	Rollout2	24/21 8/7	eq: +0.091 (-0.165)
	Player: Opponent: 51.94% (G:12.98% B:0.41%) 48.06% (G:10.56% B:0.39%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.075...+0.106) - [0.0%] Duration: 11 minutes 45 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 80993779 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 80993779 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 173 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 148 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=aAa-a-DAD---dC---c-cbA--A-:0:0:1:11:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 3: White's 6pt spare is on her 23pt

1.	Rollout1	8/7(2) 6/5(2)	eq: +0.226
	Player: Opponent: 54.85% (G:18.00% B:0.76%) 45.15% (G:12.15% B:0.60%) Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.217...+0.235) - [98.1%] Duration: 41 minutes 31 seconds
2.	Rollout1	24/23 8/7 6/5(2)	eq: +0.213 (-0.013)
	Player: Opponent: 54.96% (G:17.01% B:0.72%) 45.04% (G:12.19% B:0.59%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.205...+0.221) - [1.9%] Duration: 39 minutes 30 seconds
3.	Rollout2	6/4*(2)	eq: +0.138 (-0.088)
	Player: Opponent: 52.13% (G:19.92% B:0.85%) 47.87% (G:13.02% B:0.65%) Conf.: ± 0.018 (+0.120...+0.156) - [0.0%] Duration: 6 minutes 57 seconds
4.	Rollout2	24/21 8/7	eq: +0.055 (-0.171)
	Player: Opponent: 50.77% (G:13.18% B:0.42%) 49.23% (G:10.88% B:0.49%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.040...+0.069) - [0.0%] Duration: 7 minutes 07 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 22473369 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 22473369 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

• Position of the Day 08-02-26
  Stick -- Sunday, 16 August 2026, at 6:19 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 08-02-26
    Chuck Bower -- Sunday, 16 August 2026, at 7:23 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 08-02-26
    Francesco -- Sunday, 16 August 2026, at 8:37 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 08-02-26
    ah_clem -- Sunday, 16 August 2026, at 8:58 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 08-02-26 - Rollout
    Stick -- Tuesday, 18 August 2026, at 11:17 p.m.
    • PotD 08-02-26 - Four best plays
      Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 19 August 2026, at 6:24 p.m.