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PotD 08-06-26 - Variants

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Monday, 24 August 2026, at 4:58 a.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 08-06-26 - Rollout (Stick)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 156
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 125
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aa--DbD-B----CbB-a-cabb---:0:0:1:54:0:0:3:0:10
Original position

1.Rollout113/9 6/1* eq: +0.413
Player:
Opponent:		59.72% (G:20.00% B:0.78%)
40.28% (G:12.60% B:0.55%)		Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.398...+0.429) - [100.0%]
Duration: 39.1 seconds
2.Rollout115/11 6/1* eq: +0.346 (-0.068)
Player:
Opponent:		57.71% (G:18.80% B:0.70%)
42.29% (G:14.12% B:0.73%)		Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.334...+0.358) - [0.0%]
Duration: 36.5 seconds
3.Rollout115/6eq: +0.334 (-0.080)
Player:
Opponent:		57.90% (G:17.46% B:0.86%)
42.10% (G:11.05% B:0.40%)		Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.319...+0.348) - [0.0%]
Duration: 42.3 seconds
4.Rollout113/9 13/8eq: +0.310 (-0.103)
Player:
Opponent:		57.34% (G:17.68% B:1.25%)
42.66% (G:12.46% B:0.52%)		Conf.: ± 0.016 (+0.295...+0.326) - [0.0%]
Duration: 40.7 seconds
5.Rollout113/4eq: +0.272 (-0.141)
Player:
Opponent:		56.20% (G:16.02% B:0.66%)
43.80% (G:11.51% B:0.47%)		Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.258...+0.285) - [0.0%]
Duration: 37.6 seconds
6.Rollout115/11 15/10eq: +0.214 (-0.199)
Player:
Opponent:		55.28% (G:17.48% B:1.55%)
44.72% (G:13.71% B:0.50%)		Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.199...+0.229) - [0.0%]
Duration: 38.0 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Stick's rollout of the original position.

Below are variants. Altogether, three positions with three different best plays represented.

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 150
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 125
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aa--DbD-B----CaB-a-cbbb---:0:0:1:54:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 1: A White 11pt checker is on her 5pt

1.Rollout113/4eq: +0.261
Player:
Opponent:		55.79% (G:15.75% B:0.63%)
44.21% (G:12.21% B:0.46%)		Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.248...+0.273) - [100.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 06 seconds
2.Rollout115/6eq: +0.221 (-0.040)
Player:
Opponent:		55.60% (G:14.20% B:0.56%)
44.40% (G:12.42% B:0.33%)		Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.207...+0.234) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 21 seconds
3.Rollout113/9 6/1* eq: +0.210 (-0.050)
Player:
Opponent:		55.30% (G:17.31% B:0.50%)
44.70% (G:16.85% B:0.63%)		Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.199...+0.222) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 28 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 9118042
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 155
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 125
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aa--DbD-B----CbB-a-bbbb---:0:0:1:54:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 2: White 6pt spare is on her 5pt

1.Rollout115/6eq: +0.151
Player:
Opponent:		53.99% (G:13.19% B:0.47%)
46.01% (G:12.44% B:0.39%)		Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.144...+0.158) - [94.8%]
Duration: 12 minutes 15 seconds
2.Rollout113/4eq: +0.143 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:		53.43% (G:14.27% B:0.50%)
46.57% (G:12.63% B:0.50%)		Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.135...+0.150) - [5.2%]
Duration: 11 minutes 21 seconds
3.Rollout213/9 6/1* eq: +0.116 (-0.035)
Player:
Opponent:		53.77% (G:14.47% B:0.32%)
46.23% (G:15.92% B:0.59%)		Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.102...+0.130) - [0.0%]
Duration: 9 minutes 39 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 3852510
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 3852510
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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