This is both great to come up OtB and a nightmare. Great because it's one of your best rolls and assuming you made one of the reasonable five plays rolled out here, it didn't hurt you hardly at all equity wise. A nightmare because OtB you don't know that so what do you do? You spend quite a lot of clock time narrowing down the plays and trying to find the best option. (eventually flipping a three headed coin in your head probably after you've narrowed it down a bit and spent 4 minutes on a checker play decision with a centered cube)
What's also interesting is that after 5k trials the 2nd, 3rd, and 4th best plays are dead tied. What's also interesting is that the best play doesn't get pushed through to XGR+ when I hit the XGR+ button. It actually stopped at 3 ply and the other 4 plays were analyzed. I had to manually select it and even then it's behind .023 on XGR+ and .029 on ++!
         
 
          
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 169 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 156
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
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| XGID=--a-b-EBB---dD---c-dAa--A-:0:0:1:44:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue to play 44 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 24/16 20/16 6/2* | eq: +0.442 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 61.89% (G:11.08% B:0.42%)
38.11% (G:8.47% B:0.28%) | Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.435...+0.450) - [97.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 42 seconds |
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| 2. | Rollout1 | 24/20 13/9(3) | eq: +0.430 (-0.013) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 61.12% (G:13.60% B:0.51%)
38.88% (G:7.02% B:0.25%) | Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.422...+0.437) - [0.8%]
Duration: 4 minutes 27 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 13/5(2) | eq: +0.430 (-0.013) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 59.71% (G:18.92% B:0.73%)
40.29% (G:9.33% B:0.39%) | Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.422...+0.438) - [1.1%]
Duration: 4 minutes 09 seconds |
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| 4. | Rollout1 | 13/9(2) 6/2*(2) | eq: +0.430 (-0.013) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 59.52% (G:19.57% B:0.72%)
40.48% (G:9.02% B:0.36%) | Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.421...+0.438) - [1.1%]
Duration: 4 minutes 22 seconds |
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| 5. | Rollout1 | 24/20 13/9(2) 6/2* | eq: +0.422 (-0.020) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 60.69% (G:14.04% B:0.52%)
39.31% (G:7.70% B:0.28%) | Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.414...+0.430) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 42 seconds |
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| |
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
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