Making the five point and hitting a blot is the "obvious" play. Of course, whacking two is always worth a good look. I made the five and hit loose on the four - "fight for the 4 & 5 points in the opening" right?
Well, the outfield hit is preferred by the bot, but the bot actually likes simply making the five point while dumping behind the runner. Nice race lead, leave no blots. Hard to see OTB.
The double hit is a double whopper.
         
 
         
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 150 | | 5 point match | pip: 153
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=----a-E-D-A-eC-a-c-e-B----:0:0:1:33:0:0:0:5:10 |
| Blue to play 33 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 13/10 8/5(2) 6/3 | eq: +0.634 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 61.68% (G:24.00% B:0.56%)
38.32% (G:5.94% B:0.50%) | Conf.: ± 0.016 (+0.618...+0.650) - [100.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 12 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 21/15* 8/5(2) | eq: +0.575 (-0.059) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 62.98% (G:18.99% B:0.75%)
37.02% (G:7.40% B:0.43%) | Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.561...+0.588) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 52 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 10/4* 8/5(2) | eq: +0.528 (-0.106) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 59.26% (G:23.56% B:0.69%)
40.74% (G:7.27% B:0.40%) | Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.514...+0.541) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 25 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout1 | 21/15* 10/4* | eq: +0.454 (-0.180) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 60.04% (G:17.48% B:0.77%)
39.96% (G:9.38% B:0.45%) | Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.440...+0.467) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 08 seconds |
|
| 5. | 3-ply | 21/15*(2) | eq: +0.463 (-0.171) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 63.28% (G:11.12% B:0.33%)
36.72% (G:6.31% B:0.16%) | |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2