I saw this play live. Raj took a few minutes over it, I recall. I'm sure I wasn't the only player to think that the tentative play he'd spent the most time looking at - and did actually make - was an act of great self-harm ATS. But what do I know about this game? This stronger and longer RO (I ran it overnight) confirms how close it is:
| 1. | Rollout1 | 16/15 13/10 | eq: -0.1936 |
| Player: Opponent: | 47.28% (G:11.55% B:0.67%) 52.72% (G:14.38% B:0.45%) | Conf.: ±0.0011 (-0.1947...-0.1925) - [99.9%] Duration: 5 hours 42 minutes |
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| 2. | Rollout1 | 7/3* | eq: -0.1972 (-0.0036) |
| Player: Opponent: | 57.50% (G:24.20% B:0.54%) 42.50% (G:23.23% B:5.37%) | Conf.: ±0.0021 (-0.1993...-0.1951) - [0.1%] Duration: 3 hours 38 minutes |
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| 3. | Rollout2 | 21/20 13/10 | eq: -0.2234 (-0.0298) |
| Player: Opponent: | 46.97% (G:11.31% B:0.43%) 53.03% (G:14.95% B:0.43%) | Conf.: ±0.0073 (-0.2307...-0.2160) - [0.0%] Duration: 6 minutes 04 seconds |
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| 4. | Rollout2 | 13/10 5/4 | eq: -0.2662 (-0.0726) |
| Player: Opponent: | 46.37% (G:11.93% B:0.58%) 53.63% (G:15.44% B:0.46%) | Conf.: ±0.0072 (-0.2734...-0.2591) - [0.0%] Duration: 5 minutes 51 seconds |
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| 5. | Rollout2 | 16/13 5/4 | eq: -0.2984 (-0.1048) |
| Player: Opponent: | 46.93% (G:14.46% B:0.56%) 53.07% (G:17.75% B:0.40%) | Conf.: ±0.0072 (-0.3056...-0.2913) - [0.0%] Duration: 5 minutes 56 seconds |
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| 6. | Rollout2 | 21/20 16/13 | eq: -0.3411 (-0.1475) |
| Player: Opponent: | 46.19% (G:12.90% B:0.47%) 53.81% (G:17.99% B:0.42%) | Conf.: ±0.0071 (-0.3482...-0.3340) - [0.0%] Duration: 5 minutes 57 seconds |
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1 93312 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 21976511 Moves: XG Roller, cube decisions: XG Roller+ Search interval: Huge
2 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 21976511 Moves: XG Roller, cube decisions: XG Roller+ Search interval: Huge
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