The no brain move is a disaster.
Starting the golden point is too risky despite some duplication of the 6-x. So entering on the 22pt is nice, and deploying a builder on the 11pt is the best.
If hit outside, plenty of rolls will make the golden point, the 22 anchor, the 23 anchor or hit somewhere. Blue has the better board in case of an exchange of hits, but he is not yet the favorite.
| 1. | Rollout1 | Bar/22 13/11 | eq: -0,099 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 46,48% (G:17,68% B:1,01%)
53,52% (G:16,67% B:1,11%) | Conf.: ± 0,018 (-0,116...-0,081) - [54,4%]
Duration: 1 hour 45 minutes |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | Bar/22 10/8 | eq: -0,100 (-0,001) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 46,80% (G:16,49% B:0,82%)
53,20% (G:15,24% B:0,66%) | Conf.: ± 0,016 (-0,115...-0,084) - [45,6%]
Duration: 2 hours 16 minutes |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | Bar/20 | eq: -0,148 (-0,050) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 44,94% (G:17,18% B:1,04%)
55,06% (G:17,12% B:0,87%) | Conf.: ± 0,017 (-0,165...-0,131) - [0,0%]
Duration: 1 hour 36 minutes |
|
| 4. | Rollout1 | Bar/22 6/4 | eq: -0,212 (-0,114) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 43,91% (G:16,05% B:0,80%)
56,09% (G:16,60% B:0,82%) | Conf.: ± 0,016 (-0,228...-0,196) - [0,0%]
Duration: 2 hours 03 minutes |
|
| 5. | Rollout1 | Bar/23 13/10 | eq: -0,269 (-0,171) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 42,24% (G:15,05% B:0,73%)
57,76% (G:16,40% B:0,77%) | Conf.: ± 0,022 (-0,292...-0,247) - [0,0%]
Duration: 1 hour 55 minutes |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
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