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BGonline.org Forums
Position of the Day 08-20-26 - A simple reminder
Posted By: ah_clem In Response To: Position of the Day 08-20-26 - A simple reminder (Stick)
Date: Saturday, 5 September 2026, at 9:12 p.m.
In a first order analysis, in a last roll position you should cube if you're more than 50% to win. If blue rolls one of the 9 shakes that don't bear off white should cash. So, blue should ship it.
OTOH, if blue holds he gets a second chance if white whiffs, which is clearly a cash. So, blue wins more games by holding. Is that enough to hold?
I don't think so. As for the take, assuming white cashes her GWC is 25%, clearly enough to take.
R/T.
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