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Position of the Day 08-27-26 - Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Sunday, 13 September 2026, at 10:16 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 08-27-26 (Stick)

If it's any consolation to most of you XG had this as a crystal clear take on every basic level of analysis. More often the double what what was in question. See variant, bg is subtle sometimes.





White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 67
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 143
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=-bEFbC------a------bbbbbA-:1:-1:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 75.80% (G:12.00% B:0.37%) 76.61% (G:12.70% B:0.42%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 24.20% (G:8.70% B:0.61%) 23.39% (G:8.42% B:0.55%)
Cubeless Equities +0.547 +1.147
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.909 (-0.091)±0.006 (+0.903..+0.915)
Redouble/Take:+1.036 (+0.036)±0.007 (+1.029..+1.043)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 2 minutes 04 seconds

Variant
White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 69
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 143
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=-bEEbD------a------bbbbbA-:1:-1:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 73.98% (G:9.27% B:0.28%) 74.58% (G:9.75% B:0.32%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 26.02% (G:9.31% B:0.67%) 25.42% (G:9.17% B:0.62%)
Cubeless Equities +0.475 +0.989
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.855 (-0.009)±0.006 (+0.849..+0.861)
Redouble/Take:+0.864±0.008 (+0.856..+0.871)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.136)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:96.7%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 1 minute 43 seconds

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