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BGonline.org Forums
Position of the Day 09-04-26
Posted By: John O'Hagan In Response To: Position of the Day 09-04-26 (Stick)
Date: Saturday, 19 September 2026, at 2:11 a.m.
Jacoby might make a difference here. Blue will be a small favorite to win a g if he hits one of White's blots and a huge fav if he hits both. If Blue doubles now and rolls a 63 or 64, his equity will be over +3 points per game vs. just +1 if Blue decides not to double. That's the gain from doubling.
The loss from doubling is on the other 32 rolls. If Blue doesn't double and rolls one of these, I think he's a slight favorite. If he does double and rolls one of these, I think White will then be a cubeful favorite in the game.
Looks close but I think doubling comes out slightly ahead. Super easy take of course but not a beaver.
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