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Which hit? Early 33 - Variant

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Sunday, 20 September 2026, at 10:41 p.m.

In Response To: ROLLOUT: Which hit? Early 33 @ 5a 5a (ah_clem)

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 150 5 point match pip: 153 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=----a-E-D-A-eC-a-c-e-B----:0:0:1:33:0:0:0:5:10
Original Position

1.	Rollout1	13/10 8/5(2) 6/3	eq: +0.634
	Player: Opponent: 61.68% (G:24.00% B:0.56%) 38.32% (G:5.94% B:0.50%) Conf.: ± 0.016 (+0.618...+0.650) - [100.0%] Duration: 2 minutes 12 seconds
2.	Rollout1	21/15* 8/5(2)	eq: +0.575 (-0.059)
	Player: Opponent: 62.98% (G:18.99% B:0.75%) 37.02% (G:7.40% B:0.43%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.561...+0.588) - [0.0%] Duration: 2 minutes 52 seconds
3.	Rollout1	10/4* 8/5(2)	eq: +0.528 (-0.106)
	Player: Opponent: 59.26% (G:23.56% B:0.69%) 40.74% (G:7.27% B:0.40%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.514...+0.541) - [0.0%] Duration: 2 minutes 25 seconds
4.	Rollout1	21/15* 10/4*	eq: +0.454 (-0.180)
	Player: Opponent: 60.04% (G:17.48% B:0.77%) 39.96% (G:9.38% B:0.45%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.440...+0.467) - [0.0%] Duration: 3 minutes 08 seconds
5.	3-ply	21/15*(2)	eq: +0.463 (-0.171)
	Player: Opponent: 63.28% (G:11.12% B:0.33%) 36.72% (G:6.31% B:0.16%)
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Stick's rollout of the original position.

Below is a contrasting variant.

Nack

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 142 5 point match pip: 153 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=----a-E-D-A-cC-abc-e-B----:0:0:1:33:0:0:0:5:10
Variant: Two White 13pt checkers are on her 9pt

1.	Rollout1	21/15* 8/5(2)	eq: +0.338
	Player: Opponent: 57.48% (G:17.09% B:0.75%) 42.52% (G:10.17% B:0.54%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.323...+0.353) - [100.0%] Duration: 6 minutes 45 seconds
2.	Rollout1	21/15*(2)	eq: +0.287 (-0.051)
	Player: Opponent: 58.03% (G:9.13% B:0.42%) 41.97% (G:8.16% B:0.31%) Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.275...+0.299) - [0.0%] Duration: 8 minutes 57 seconds
3.	Rollout1	13/10 8/5(2) 6/3	eq: +0.272 (-0.066)
	Player: Opponent: 53.80% (G:19.09% B:0.46%) 46.20% (G:7.40% B:0.38%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.259...+0.285) - [0.0%] Duration: 6 minutes 27 seconds
4.	Rollout1	10/4* 8/5(2)	eq: +0.208 (-0.131)
	Player: Opponent: 52.08% (G:18.68% B:0.57%) 47.92% (G:8.75% B:0.52%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.193...+0.222) - [0.0%] Duration: 7 minutes 16 seconds
5.	Rollout1	21/15* 10/4*	eq: +0.175 (-0.164)
	Player: Opponent: 54.17% (G:15.14% B:0.72%) 45.83% (G:12.17% B:0.51%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.161...+0.188) - [0.0%] Duration: 7 minutes 59 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 64711009 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

• Which hit? Early 33 @ 5a 5a
  ah_clem -- Thursday, 27 August 2026, at 2:49 p.m.
  • Which hit? Early 33 @ 5a 5a
    Chuck Bower -- Thursday, 27 August 2026, at 3:27 p.m.
  • Which hit? Early 33 @ 5a 5a
    mamabear -- Thursday, 27 August 2026, at 9:30 p.m.
  • Which hit? Early 33 @ 5a 5a
    MK -- Friday, 28 August 2026, at 8:22 a.m.
  • ROLLOUT: Which hit? Early 33 @ 5a 5a
    ah_clem -- Saturday, 29 August 2026, at 2:32 p.m.
    • Which hit? Early 33 - Variant
      Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 20 September 2026, at 10:41 p.m.