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Position of the Day 09-05-26 - Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Wednesday, 23 September 2026, at 8:40 a.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 09-05-26 (Stick)

Obviously all our pips that are eaten up by the dead spares on our ace point make a big difference. See near cusp variant below.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 149
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 78
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aEBBdBB----------A-bbbbbA-:2:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 57.95% (G:42.28% B:0.33%) 58.16% (G:42.26% B:0.31%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 42.05% (G:8.12% B:0.25%) 41.84% (G:8.29% B:0.25%)
Cubeless Equities +0.501 +1.007
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.578 (-0.082)±0.012 (+0.566..+0.590)
Redouble/Take:+0.660±0.021 (+0.639..+0.680)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.340)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 42.6 seconds

Variant
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 149
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 83
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aCCBdCB----------A-bbbbbA-:2:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 63.53% (G:45.58% B:0.49%) 63.35% (G:45.43% B:0.51%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 36.47% (G:5.86% B:0.18%) 36.65% (G:5.93% B:0.19%)
Cubeless Equities +0.671 +1.330
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.839 (-0.161)±0.006 (+0.834..+0.845)
Redouble/Take:+1.018 (+0.018)±0.009 (+1.008..+1.027)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 2 minutes 41 seconds

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