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Stick should love it

Posted By: ah_clem
Date: Friday, 25 September 2026, at 8:47 p.m.

In Response To: Stick should love it (pierrez)

IIRC, the takepoint on a rewhip at 3a3a is about 25% or slightly elevated vs the norm. We win a few gammons here and pushing the cube neutralizes them, but I don't think that plays a big factor here. Anyway, if we ship it and white takes then gammons don't matter so go with 25% takepoint.

White needs a six before we roll a 5 or 6 twice, and if she leaps before enter both she's in very good shape. Seems like that happens enough to take.

Is it a cube? Any 5 is a market loser unless she rolls 62 (61 doesn't seem like enough.) That's 11. Bad sequences? We dance or enter with a 6 other than 65 followed by her rolling a six. 25 rolls do the former and 11 do the latter so the bad sequences happen about 21% of the time. Is that too many? Maybe, but I'll ship it because some may pass and we won't have to eat an 8 cube.

R/T.

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