[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

Position of the Day 09-07-26 - Rollout #nobody

Posted By: Stick
Date: Saturday, 26 September 2026, at 8:25 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 09-07-26 (Stick)

Not a big surprise nobody got it right since almost nobody tried ...and on top of that the decision is close. I think this type of position should be one that is basically known. You've escaped all your back checkers, your opponent still has one checker back that just ran into your outfield. Your race lead, number of shots, and to a very minor degree offensive board strength will determine if you can ship it or not. More on this later.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 107
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 106
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--BB-BC-B-a-bD--ba-cbb-b--:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 66.47% (G:4.83% B:0.04%) 66.87% (G:5.19% B:0.05%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 33.53% (G:1.01% B:0.02%) 33.13% (G:1.18% B:0.03%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.368 +0.755
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.543±0.003 (+0.540..+0.546)
Double/Take:+0.531 (-0.012)±0.005 (+0.526..+0.536)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.457)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 2.5%
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 1 minute 43 seconds

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.