Who on earth and over the board will select the hitting play and play on with a homeboard like a cheese with holes against a perfect opponent's homeboard ?
Or select the non-hitting play, fill in the long-term liability 5 point hole and start a no-brainer bear-in ?
| 1. | Rollout1 | 13/12 13/11* 2/1 | eq: +0,395 |
| Player: Opponent: | 72,12% (G:5,65% B:0,06%) 27,88% (G:4,43% B:0,08%) | Conf.: ± 0,005 (+0,390...+0,400) - [100,0%] Duration: 4 minutes 29 seconds |
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| 2. | Rollout1 | 7/5 6/5 3/2 | eq: +0,382 (-0,013) |
| Player: Opponent: | 72,23% (G:1,91% B:0,04%) 27,77% (G:1,40% B:0,03%) | Conf.: ± 0,005 (+0,377...+0,387) - [0,0%] Duration: 3 minutes 12 seconds |
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| 3. | Rollout1 | 13/11* 7/6 2/1 | eq: +0,378 (-0,017) |
| Player: Opponent: | 71,19% (G:5,85% B:0,05%) 28,81% (G:4,45% B:0,10%) | Conf.: ± 0,005 (+0,372...+0,383) - [0,0%] Duration: 4 minutes 15 seconds |
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| 4. | Rollout1 | 7/5 6/5 2/1 | eq: +0,343 (-0,052) |
| Player: Opponent: | 70,79% (G:1,59% B:0,02%) 29,21% (G:1,64% B:0,03%) | Conf.: ± 0,005 (+0,338...+0,348) - [0,0%] Duration: 3 minutes 29 seconds |
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| 5. | XG Roller++ | 13/11* 3/2(2) | eq: +0,321 (-0,074) |
| Player: Opponent: | 69,63% (G:6,08% B:0,06%) 30,37% (G:5,08% B:0,11%) | |
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1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
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Bur race matters and in both scenarios, White will stay (with one checker) til the last minute in order to hit if it happens, adding contact to race like in a holding play.