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Bot Battle #160 - Variants

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Thursday, 1 October 2026, at 2:54 p.m.

In Response To: Bot Battle #160 Rollout (Jason Lee)





White is Professional

score: 2
pip: 142
9 point match
pip: 156
score: 1

Blue is Hive Mind
XGID=-aa--BDBA---bD--ad-d---bB-:0:0:1:53:1:2:0:9:10
Original Position

1.Rollout124/21 13/8eq: +0.622
Player:
Opponent:
63.33% (G:19.14% B:1.02%)
36.67% (G:13.06% B:0.46%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.617...+0.627) - [58.2%]
Duration: 2 hours 39 minutes
2.Rollout113/10 13/8eq: +0.621 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:
62.73% (G:21.09% B:1.06%)
37.27% (G:12.59% B:1.09%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.616...+0.626) - [41.8%]
Duration: 2 hours 38 minutes
3.Rollout224/16* eq: +0.590 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:
62.42% (G:18.95% B:1.20%)
37.58% (G:11.92% B:0.71%)
Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.578...+0.602) - [0.0%]
Duration: 36 minutes 34 seconds
1 7776 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+
Search interval: Huge

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+
Search interval: Huge

Above is Jason's rollout of the original position. To reach it, Stick's Nactation of 64P-31P-54D-61P-51S-53 works well.

Below are contrasting variants. The first is 31P-31P-54D-61P-51S-53. (The second requires a longer sequence unless White opens 65D. It's a 2-point adjustment that causes a big swing.)

Nack






White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 148
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 156
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aa--BDBA---bD--ad-db---B-:0:0:1:53:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 1: White's 2pt is changed to her 5pt

1.Rollout124/16* eq: +0.262
Player:
Opponent:
56.56% (G:16.60% B:1.03%)
43.44% (G:13.54% B:0.65%)
Conf.: ± 0.016 (+0.246...+0.277) - [100.0%]
Duration: 21 minutes 24 seconds
2.Rollout124/21 13/8eq: +0.223 (-0.039)
Player:
Opponent:
56.28% (G:16.90% B:1.00%)
43.72% (G:15.37% B:0.65%)
Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.209...+0.237) - [0.0%]
Duration: 16 minutes 27 seconds
3.Rollout113/10 13/8eq: +0.170 (-0.092)
Player:
Opponent:
54.53% (G:18.59% B:1.02%)
45.47% (G:16.12% B:1.09%)
Conf.: ± 0.016 (+0.153...+0.186) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 00 second
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 76220407
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller






White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 140
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 156
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aa--BDBA---bD--ac-e---bB-:0:0:1:53:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 2: A White 8pt spare is on her 6pt

1.Rollout113/10 13/8eq: +0.554
Player:
Opponent:
63.46% (G:20.91% B:1.14%)
36.54% (G:12.46% B:0.90%)
Conf.: ± 0.017 (+0.537...+0.571) - [100.0%]
Duration: 12 minutes 59 seconds
2.Rollout124/21 13/8eq: +0.513 (-0.041)
Player:
Opponent:
63.38% (G:18.86% B:1.14%)
36.62% (G:13.29% B:0.46%)
Conf.: ± 0.016 (+0.497...+0.530) - [0.0%]
Duration: 12 minutes 36 seconds
3.Rollout124/16* eq: +0.497 (-0.057)
Player:
Opponent:
62.44% (G:19.04% B:1.20%)
37.56% (G:12.21% B:0.57%)
Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.482...+0.512) - [0.0%]
Duration: 13 minutes 35 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 85327691
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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