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PotD 08-24-26 - Variants #nobody saw

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Friday, 2 October 2026, at 5:37 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 08-24-26 - Rollout #nobody (Stick)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 150
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 150
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aaB-BD---A-bDb--c-cab--B-:0:0:1:61:0:0:3:0:10
Original Position

1.Rollout113/6eq: -0.302
Player:
Opponent:
41.74% (G:17.00% B:0.81%)
58.26% (G:19.87% B:1.44%)
Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.317...-0.288) - [100.0%]
Duration: 37.3 seconds
2.Rollout124/18 6/5eq: -0.356 (-0.053)
Player:
Opponent:
41.97% (G:14.03% B:0.89%)
58.03% (G:22.27% B:1.27%)
Conf.: ± 0.018 (-0.374...-0.337) - [0.0%]
Duration: 37.3 seconds
3.Rollout110/4 6/5eq: -0.375 (-0.072)
Player:
Opponent:
40.94% (G:14.94% B:0.80%)
59.06% (G:20.72% B:1.66%)
Conf.: ± 0.017 (-0.391...-0.358) - [0.0%]
Duration: 35.4 seconds
4.Rollout110/3eq: -0.379 (-0.077)
Player:
Opponent:
40.13% (G:15.64% B:0.67%)
59.87% (G:20.53% B:1.29%)
Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.395...-0.363) - [0.0%]
Duration: 37.3 seconds
5.Rollout124/23 10/4eq: -0.473 (-0.171)
Player:
Opponent:
39.51% (G:14.24% B:0.80%)
60.49% (G:24.03% B:1.64%)
Conf.: ± 0.017 (-0.490...-0.457) - [0.0%]
Duration: 34.3 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Stick's rollout of the original position.

Below are three variants. Altogether, four positions with four different best plays represented.

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 146
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 150
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aaB-BD---A-bD--bc-cab--B-:0:0:1:61:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 1: White's 11pt is changed to her 9pt

1.Rollout124/18 6/5eq: -0.315
Player:
Opponent:
42.84% (G:14.88% B:1.02%)
57.16% (G:23.92% B:1.45%)
Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.325...-0.305) - [100.0%]
Duration: 14 minutes 38 seconds
2.Rollout124/23 24/18eq: -0.343 (-0.028)
Player:
Opponent:
42.00% (G:13.62% B:0.87%)
58.00% (G:24.08% B:1.38%)
Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.353...-0.333) - [0.0%]
Duration: 15 minutes 00 second
3.Rollout213/6eq: -0.357 (-0.042)
Player:
Opponent:
40.55% (G:15.54% B:0.67%)
59.45% (G:19.85% B:1.41%)
Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.372...-0.341) - [0.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 36 seconds
4.Rollout224/18 10/9eq: -0.362 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:
41.47% (G:14.21% B:0.95%)
58.53% (G:23.70% B:1.49%)
Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.376...-0.348) - [0.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 23 seconds
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 59224902
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 59224902
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller






White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 149
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 150
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--bB-BD---A-bDb--c-cab--B-:0:0:1:61:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 2: White's 24pt checker is on her 23pt

1.Rollout124/23 24/18eq: -0.412
Player:
Opponent:
40.82% (G:12.37% B:0.68%)
59.18% (G:23.31% B:1.13%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.420...-0.405) - [99.0%]
Duration: 23 minutes 48 seconds
2.Rollout110/4 6/5eq: -0.426 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:
40.11% (G:12.71% B:0.70%)
59.89% (G:20.58% B:1.45%)
Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.434...-0.418) - [0.7%]
Duration: 23 minutes 55 seconds
3.Rollout124/18 6/5eq: -0.428 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:
40.79% (G:12.76% B:0.71%)
59.21% (G:22.78% B:1.19%)
Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.436...-0.419) - [0.3%]
Duration: 24 minutes 49 seconds
4.Rollout224/23 13/7eq: -0.451 (-0.039)
Player:
Opponent:
39.87% (G:13.08% B:0.76%)
60.13% (G:22.67% B:1.47%)
Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.467...-0.436) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 32 seconds
5.Rollout224/18 10/9eq: -0.456 (-0.044)
Player:
Opponent:
40.03% (G:12.31% B:0.68%)
59.97% (G:22.83% B:1.16%)
Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.471...-0.442) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 44 seconds
6.Rollout224/23 10/4eq: -0.473 (-0.060)
Player:
Opponent:
39.94% (G:12.86% B:0.74%)
60.06% (G:24.28% B:1.59%)
Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.489...-0.456) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 17 seconds
7.Rollout213/7 6/5eq: -0.481 (-0.069)
Player:
Opponent:
38.44% (G:12.68% B:0.71%)
61.56% (G:21.49% B:1.61%)
Conf.: ± 0.019 (-0.500...-0.462) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 28 seconds
8.Rollout213/6eq: -0.508 (-0.095)
Player:
Opponent:
37.72% (G:11.38% B:0.59%)
62.28% (G:19.84% B:1.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.522...-0.493) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 47 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 72596219
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 72596219
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller






White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 151
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 150
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b-B-BD---A-bDb--c-cab--B-:0:0:1:61:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 3: White's 23pt checker is on her 24pt

1.Rollout113/7 6/5eq: -0.167
Player:
Opponent:
45.41% (G:16.68% B:1.30%)
54.59% (G:19.27% B:1.59%)
Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.176...-0.159) - [97.6%]
Duration: 27 minutes 06 seconds
2.Rollout110/4 6/5eq: -0.179 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:
45.55% (G:16.56% B:1.22%)
54.45% (G:18.77% B:1.36%)
Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.186...-0.171) - [2.4%]
Duration: 27 minutes 12 seconds
3.Rollout224/23 13/7eq: -0.201 (-0.034)
Player:
Opponent:
44.85% (G:16.30% B:1.18%)
55.15% (G:20.94% B:1.47%)
Conf.: ± 0.017 (-0.218...-0.184) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 52 seconds
4.Rollout224/23 24/18eq: -0.237 (-0.070)
Player:
Opponent:
44.84% (G:15.27% B:1.20%)
55.16% (G:22.71% B:1.18%)
Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.252...-0.223) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 46 seconds
5.Rollout224/18 6/5eq: -0.248 (-0.080)
Player:
Opponent:
44.84% (G:15.71% B:1.25%)
55.16% (G:22.54% B:1.28%)
Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.263...-0.232) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 59 seconds
6.Rollout213/7 10/9eq: -0.253 (-0.086)
Player:
Opponent:
43.59% (G:16.26% B:1.12%)
56.41% (G:19.93% B:1.72%)
Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.269...-0.237) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 58 seconds
7.Rollout213/6eq: -0.268 (-0.101)
Player:
Opponent:
42.78% (G:16.12% B:1.06%)
57.22% (G:19.27% B:1.30%)
Conf.: ± 0.021 (-0.289...-0.247) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 56 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 76220407
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 76220407
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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