BGonline.org Forums

Position of the Day 09-03-26 - Rollout

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Monday, 5 October 2026, at 4:08 a.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 09-03-26 - Rollout (Stick)

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 138 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 142 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-bA--BD-D----Ba-acbd-b--B-:0:0:1:52:0:0:3:0:10
Original Position

1.	Rollout1	8/3 6/4	eq: -0.715
	Player: Opponent: 35.70% (G:10.39% B:0.73%) 64.30% (G:28.21% B:3.86%) Conf.: ± 0.021 (-0.737...-0.694) - [100.0%] Duration: 41.4 seconds
2.	Rollout1	13/8 6/4	eq: -0.785 (-0.070)
	Player: Opponent: 33.56% (G:9.77% B:0.64%) 66.44% (G:26.81% B:3.27%) Conf.: ± 0.021 (-0.806...-0.764) - [0.0%] Duration: 37.5 seconds
3.	Rollout1	13/6	eq: -0.835 (-0.120)
	Player: Opponent: 30.78% (G:9.03% B:0.52%) 69.22% (G:22.39% B:1.88%) Conf.: ± 0.019 (-0.854...-0.817) - [0.0%] Duration: 31.1 seconds
4.	Rollout1	13/11 13/8	eq: -0.859 (-0.144)
	Player: Opponent: 30.00% (G:8.54% B:0.48%) 70.00% (G:21.69% B:1.65%) Conf.: ± 0.021 (-0.881...-0.838) - [0.0%] Duration: 32.8 seconds
5.	Rollout1	24/22 8/3	eq: -0.931 (-0.216)
	Player: Opponent: 34.54% (G:10.37% B:0.86%) 65.46% (G:36.55% B:3.81%) Conf.: ± 0.022 (-0.954...-0.909) - [0.0%] Duration: 38.9 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Stick's rollout of the original position.

Below are four variants. Altogether, five positions with five different best plays represented.

Nack

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 142 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 142 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-bA--BD-D----Ba-cc-d-b--B-:0:0:1:52:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 1: White's two 7pt checkers are on her 9pt

1.	Rollout1	13/6	eq: -0.399
	Player: Opponent: 39.65% (G:12.12% B:0.68%) 60.35% (G:19.15% B:1.35%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.413...-0.384) - [100.0%] Duration: 5 minutes 19 seconds
2.	Rollout1	13/11 13/8	eq: -0.446 (-0.048)
	Player: Opponent: 38.55% (G:11.35% B:0.60%) 61.45% (G:17.92% B:1.26%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.460...-0.433) - [0.0%] Duration: 5 minutes 03 seconds
3.	Rollout1	8/6 8/3	eq: -0.446 (-0.048)
	Player: Opponent: 40.07% (G:12.00% B:0.68%) 59.93% (G:22.78% B:2.20%) Conf.: ± 0.017 (-0.463...-0.429) - [0.0%] Duration: 5 minutes 59 seconds
4.	Rollout1	13/11 8/3	eq: -0.449 (-0.051)
	Player: Opponent: 40.01% (G:12.03% B:0.75%) 59.99% (G:23.85% B:2.92%) Conf.: ± 0.020 (-0.470...-0.429) - [0.0%] Duration: 5 minutes 40 seconds
5.	Rollout1	8/3 6/4	eq: -0.450 (-0.051)
	Player: Opponent: 40.65% (G:12.31% B:0.73%) 59.35% (G:24.42% B:2.97%) Conf.: ± 0.017 (-0.467...-0.432) - [0.0%] Duration: 6 minutes 08 seconds
6.	Rollout1	13/8 6/4	eq: -0.473 (-0.075)
	Player: Opponent: 39.13% (G:11.73% B:0.65%) 60.87% (G:22.72% B:2.53%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.488...-0.458) - [0.0%] Duration: 5 minutes 45 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 49315447 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 142 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 142 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-bA--BD-D----Bb-acad-b--B-:0:0:1:52:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 2: A White 7pt checker is on her 11pt

1.	Rollout1	8/6 8/3	eq: -0.430
	Player: Opponent: 40.03% (G:13.81% B:1.09%) 59.97% (G:23.54% B:2.27%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.445...-0.416) - [100.0%] Duration: 9 minutes 41 seconds
2.	Rollout1	8/3 6/4	eq: -0.476 (-0.046)
	Player: Opponent: 40.00% (G:12.81% B:0.96%) 60.00% (G:26.38% B:3.42%) Conf.: ± 0.017 (-0.493...-0.459) - [0.0%] Duration: 3 minutes 44 seconds
3.	Rollout1	13/11 8/3	eq: -0.481 (-0.050)
	Player: Opponent: 39.28% (G:13.41% B:1.12%) 60.72% (G:25.26% B:3.43%) Conf.: ± 0.017 (-0.498...-0.464) - [0.0%] Duration: 9 minutes 47 seconds
4.	Rollout1	13/6	eq: -0.483 (-0.053)
	Player: Opponent: 37.50% (G:12.42% B:0.94%) 62.50% (G:21.19% B:1.62%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.498...-0.468) - [0.0%] Duration: 3 minutes 34 seconds
5.	Rollout1	13/11 13/8	eq: -0.511 (-0.081)
	Player: Opponent: 36.85% (G:11.60% B:0.90%) 63.15% (G:20.57% B:1.53%) Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.527...-0.495) - [0.0%] Duration: 3 minutes 23 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 76220407 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 140 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 142 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-bA--BD-D----Ba-bcad-b--B-:0:0:1:52:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 3: A White 7pt checker is on her 9pt

1.	Rollout1	13/11 8/3	eq: -0.497
	Player: Opponent: 38.49% (G:12.38% B:0.94%) 61.51% (G:24.96% B:3.30%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.505...-0.489) - [62.5%] Duration: 27 minutes 40 seconds
2.	Rollout1	8/6 8/3	eq: -0.499 (-0.002)
	Player: Opponent: 38.36% (G:12.43% B:0.86%) 61.64% (G:23.67% B:2.33%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.507...-0.491) - [37.5%] Duration: 27 minutes 18 seconds
3.	Rollout2	13/6	eq: -0.518 (-0.021)
	Player: Opponent: 36.56% (G:11.44% B:0.74%) 63.44% (G:20.51% B:1.50%) Conf.: ± 0.011 (-0.529...-0.507) - [0.0%] Duration: 14 minutes 05 seconds
4.	Rollout2	8/3 6/4	eq: -0.527 (-0.030)
	Player: Opponent: 38.70% (G:11.81% B:0.81%) 61.30% (G:26.86% B:3.56%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.539...-0.514) - [0.0%] Duration: 14 minutes 18 seconds
5.	Rollout3	13/11 13/8	eq: -0.542 (-0.045)
	Player: Opponent: 35.87% (G:10.89% B:0.71%) 64.13% (G:19.72% B:1.45%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.556...-0.527) - [0.0%] Duration: 8 minutes 46 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 72596219 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 72596219 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 3 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 72596219 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 143 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 142 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-bA--BD-D----Bb-acbc-b--B-:0:0:1:52:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 4: A White 6pt checker is on her 11pt

1.	Rollout1	24/22 8/3	eq: -0.907
	Player: Opponent: 34.04% (G:10.24% B:0.79%) 65.96% (G:34.13% B:3.78%) Conf.: ± 0.012 (-0.919...-0.895) - [91.7%] Duration: 22 minutes 31 seconds
2.	Rollout1	8/3 6/4	eq: -0.918 (-0.011)
	Player: Opponent: 32.18% (G:9.40% B:0.56%) 67.82% (G:28.71% B:3.82%) Conf.: ± 0.011 (-0.930...-0.907) - [8.2%] Duration: 21 minutes 48 seconds
3.	Rollout2	24/22 13/8	eq: -0.938 (-0.031)
	Player: Opponent: 31.86% (G:9.59% B:0.66%) 68.14% (G:30.02% B:3.01%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.953...-0.923) - [0.0%] Duration: 13 minutes 02 seconds
4.	Rollout3	13/6	eq: -0.983 (-0.076)
	Player: Opponent: 28.46% (G:8.53% B:0.46%) 71.54% (G:23.69% B:1.86%) Conf.: ± 0.018 (-1.000...-0.965) - [0.0%] Duration: 8 minutes 31 seconds
5.	Rollout3	13/11 13/8	eq: -1.000 (-0.093)
	Player: Opponent: 27.53% (G:7.81% B:0.41%) 72.47% (G:22.13% B:1.52%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (-1.008...-0.992) - [0.0%] Duration: 8 minutes 35 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 12502781 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 12502781 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 3 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 12502781 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

• Position of the Day 09-03-26
  Stick -- Thursday, 17 September 2026, at 6:32 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 09-03-26
    mamabear -- Thursday, 17 September 2026, at 8:17 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 09-03-26
    John O'Hagan -- Thursday, 17 September 2026, at 9:47 p.m.
    • Position of the Day 09-03-26
      mamabear -- Thursday, 17 September 2026, at 10:35 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 09-03-26
    Francesco -- Friday, 18 September 2026, at 6:22 a.m.
  • Position of the Day 09-03-26
    Chuck Bower -- Friday, 18 September 2026, at 4:23 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 09-03-26
    ah_clem -- Friday, 18 September 2026, at 6:09 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 09-03-26 - Rollout
    Stick -- Sunday, 20 September 2026, at 7:37 a.m.
    • Position of the Day 09-03-26 - Rollout
      Nack Ballard -- Monday, 5 October 2026, at 4:08 a.m.