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Where to scoot - Variants

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Monday, 5 October 2026, at 5:16 p.m.

In Response To: Where to scoot Rollout (Jason Lee)

		White is Professional score: 6 pip: 158 9 point match pip: 165 score: 0 Blue is Hive Mind
XGID=-b----E-C-A-dDa--b-cb-a-AA:0:0:1:31:0:6:0:9:10
Original Position

1.	Rollout1	Bar/22* 10/9	eq: +0.171
	Player: Opponent: 47.61% (G:13.49% B:0.69%) 52.39% (G:15.96% B:1.88%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.167...+0.176) - [78.5%] Duration: 4 hours 46 minutes
2.	Rollout1	Bar/22* 24/23	eq: +0.169 (-0.003)
	Player: Opponent: 47.66% (G:13.25% B:0.68%) 52.34% (G:16.03% B:1.65%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.164...+0.173) - [21.5%] Duration: 4 hours 48 minutes
3.	Rollout1	Bar/22* 22/21	eq: +0.154 (-0.018)
	Player: Opponent: 47.19% (G:13.30% B:0.71%) 52.81% (G:16.26% B:1.82%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.149...+0.158) - [0.0%] Duration: 4 hours 52 minutes
1 7776 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 23132224 Moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+ Search interval: Huge

Above is Jason's rollout of the original position.

Below are two variants. Altogether, three different best plays are represented.

Nack

		White is Player 2 score: 6 pip: 160 9 point match pip: 165 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b----E-C-A-dDa--c-bb-a-AA:0:0:1:31:0:6:0:9:10
Variant 1: White's 6pt spare is on her 8pt

1.	Rollout1	Bar/22* 22/21	eq: +0.182
	Player: Opponent: 47.79% (G:13.39% B:0.68%) 52.21% (G:14.32% B:1.58%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.174...+0.189) - [100.0%] Duration: 40 minutes 08 seconds
2.	Rollout1	Bar/22* 24/23	eq: +0.161 (-0.020)
	Player: Opponent: 47.24% (G:13.33% B:0.70%) 52.76% (G:14.95% B:1.52%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.154...+0.168) - [0.0%] Duration: 38 minutes 24 seconds
3.	Rollout2	Bar/22* 10/9	eq: +0.146 (-0.035)
	Player: Opponent: 47.06% (G:13.05% B:0.62%) 52.94% (G:14.33% B:1.70%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.131...+0.162) - [0.0%] Duration: 16 minutes 02 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 49315447 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 49315447 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

		White is Player 2 score: 6 pip: 151 9 point match pip: 165 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b----E-C-A-cDa--b-db-a-AA:0:0:1:31:0:6:0:9:10
Variant 2:

1.	Rollout1	Bar/22* 24/23	eq: +0.112
	Player: Opponent: 46.54% (G:12.53% B:0.69%) 53.46% (G:18.03% B:1.85%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.105...+0.119) - [63.9%] Duration: 37 minutes 44 seconds
2.	Rollout1	Bar/22* 10/9	eq: +0.110 (-0.002)
	Player: Opponent: 46.33% (G:12.83% B:0.72%) 53.67% (G:17.89% B:1.83%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.103...+0.117) - [36.1%] Duration: 37 minutes 17 seconds
3.	Rollout2	Bar/22* 22/21	eq: +0.086 (-0.026)
	Player: Opponent: 45.89% (G:12.38% B:0.69%) 54.11% (G:18.01% B:1.89%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.072...+0.100) - [0.0%] Duration: 14 minutes 42 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 12502781 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 12502781 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

• Where to scoot
  Jason Lee -- Friday, 18 September 2026, at 7:39 p.m.
  • Where to scoot
    John O'Hagan -- Friday, 18 September 2026, at 9:10 p.m.
  • Where to scoot
    Frank Berger -- Friday, 18 September 2026, at 10:02 p.m.
  • Where to scoot Rollout
    Jason Lee -- Sunday, 20 September 2026, at 12:48 p.m.
    • Where to scoot - Variants
      Nack Ballard -- Monday, 5 October 2026, at 5:16 p.m.