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PotD 09-11-26 - Variant

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Tuesday, 6 October 2026, at 7:48 a.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 09-11-26 - Rollout (Stick)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 116
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 138
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--A-BCBb---B-C---bddBc----:0:0:1:65:0:0:3:0:10
Original Position

1.Rollout120/15 20/14eq: -0.266
Player:
Opponent:
41.48% (G:3.94% B:0.15%)
58.52% (G:7.43% B:0.23%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.271...-0.261) - [96.4%]
Duration: 2 minutes 13 seconds
2.Rollout113/2eq: -0.273 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:
41.09% (G:5.45% B:0.20%)
58.91% (G:6.77% B:0.13%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.278...-0.268) - [3.6%]
Duration: 2 minutes 02 seconds
3.Rollout211/6 11/5eq: -0.313 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:
39.96% (G:5.15% B:0.19%)
60.04% (G:6.38% B:0.13%)
Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.323...-0.304) - [0.0%]
Duration: 29.1 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Stick's rollout of the original position.

Below is a contrasting variant.

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 116
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 136
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--AABBBb---B-C---bddBc----:0:0:1:65:0:0:3:0:10
Variant: Blue's 5pt spare is on his 3pt

1.Rollout113/2eq: -0.259
Player:
Opponent:
41.93% (G:5.67% B:0.18%)
58.07% (G:7.26% B:0.16%)
Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.269...-0.249) - [100.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 21 seconds
2.Rollout111/6 11/5eq: -0.288 (-0.030)
Player:
Opponent:
41.01% (G:4.94% B:0.17%)
58.99% (G:6.09% B:0.12%)
Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.298...-0.279) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 09 seconds
3.Rollout120/15 20/14eq: -0.292 (-0.033)
Player:
Opponent:
41.75% (G:5.47% B:0.23%)
58.25% (G:11.26% B:0.79%)
Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.305...-0.280) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 47 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 76220407
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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