BGonline.org Forums

PotD 09-13-26 - Variants

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Tuesday, 6 October 2026, at 4:17 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 09-13-26 - Rollout (Stick)

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 125 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 79 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BDCBaB---b----A-bccd----A:1:1:1:13:0:0:3:0:10
Original Position

1.	Rollout1	Bar/22 15/14	eq: -0.396
	Player: Opponent: 30.09% (G:7.15% B:0.06%) 69.91% (G:14.19% B:0.54%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.402...-0.389) - [100.0%] Duration: 23.5 seconds
2.	Rollout1	Bar/21	eq: -0.446 (-0.050)
	Player: Opponent: 28.21% (G:9.81% B:0.07%) 71.79% (G:16.73% B:0.66%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.453...-0.439) - [0.0%] Duration: 22.4 seconds
3.	Rollout1	Bar/22 6/5*	eq: -0.479 (-0.084)
	Player: Opponent: 30.38% (G:8.88% B:0.04%) 69.62% (G:24.13% B:2.32%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.487...-0.472) - [0.0%] Duration: 26.7 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Stick's rollout of the original position.

Below are variants. Altogether, three positions with three different best plays.

Nack

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 123 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 79 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BDCBaB----b---A-bccd----A:1:1:1:31:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 1: White's 15pt is changed to her 14pt

1.	Rollout1	Bar/21	eq: -0.313
	Player: Opponent: 32.79% (G:9.36% B:0.05%) 67.21% (G:14.19% B:0.58%) Conf.: ± 0.003 (-0.316...-0.310) - [100.0%] Duration: 10 minutes 09 seconds
2.	Rollout1	Bar/22 2/1	eq: -0.323 (-0.010)
	Player: Opponent: 32.87% (G:7.45% B:0.05%) 67.13% (G:13.54% B:0.51%) Conf.: ± 0.003 (-0.326...-0.320) - [0.0%] Duration: 11 minutes 10 seconds
3.	Rollout1	Bar/22 15/14	eq: -0.324 (-0.011)
	Player: Opponent: 32.86% (G:6.39% B:0.04%) 67.14% (G:12.29% B:0.48%) Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.328...-0.321) - [0.0%] Duration: 10 minutes 55 seconds
4.	Rollout2	Bar/22 3/2	eq: -0.351 (-0.038)
	Player: Opponent: 32.03% (G:6.94% B:0.04%) 67.97% (G:14.19% B:0.55%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.358...-0.344) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 07 seconds
5.	Rollout2	Bar/22 6/5*	eq: -0.425 (-0.112)
	Player: Opponent: 32.10% (G:8.76% B:0.03%) 67.90% (G:22.70% B:2.04%) Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.434...-0.416) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 18 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 59224902 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 59224902 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 138 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 79 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BDCBaBa--b----A-bccc----A:1:1:1:31:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 2: White's 6pt spare is on her 18pt

1.	Rollout1	Bar/22 6/5*	eq: -0.413
	Player: Opponent: 30.41% (G:15.23% B:0.07%) 69.59% (G:23.27% B:1.99%) Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.423...-0.404) - [100.0%] Duration: 5 minutes 57 seconds
2.	Rollout1	Bar/22 15/14	eq: -0.474 (-0.061)
	Player: Opponent: 27.07% (G:7.91% B:0.05%) 72.93% (G:15.93% B:0.65%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.481...-0.466) - [0.0%] Duration: 6 minutes 16 seconds
3.	Rollout1	Bar/21	eq: -0.478 (-0.065)
	Player: Opponent: 26.73% (G:11.21% B:0.17%) 73.27% (G:18.13% B:0.79%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.487...-0.470) - [0.0%] Duration: 5 minutes 49 seconds
4.	Rollout1	Bar/22 2/1	eq: -0.491 (-0.078)
	Player: Opponent: 26.46% (G:8.83% B:0.08%) 73.54% (G:16.82% B:0.71%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.498...-0.484) - [0.0%] Duration: 5 minutes 39 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 76220407 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

• Position of the Day 09-13-26
  Stick -- Monday, 28 September 2026, at 10:17 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 09-13-26
    Frank Berger -- Monday, 28 September 2026, at 10:42 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 09-13-26
    ah_clem -- Tuesday, 29 September 2026, at 1:12 a.m.
  • Position of the Day 09-13-26
    Francesco -- Tuesday, 29 September 2026, at 11:27 a.m.
  • Position of the Day 09-13-26
    Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 29 September 2026, at 5:54 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 09-13-26
    John O'Hagan -- Wednesday, 30 September 2026, at 10:50 a.m.
  • Position of the Day 09-13-26 - Rollout
    Stick -- Thursday, 1 October 2026, at 7:58 p.m.
    • PotD 09-13-26 - Variants
      Nack Ballard -- Tuesday, 6 October 2026, at 4:17 p.m.