Most of you said DT, one of you said DP, and my question per usual of late is did anyone really get it right? Only you can know. Look at the original, big pass. Look at the variant, big take. Did you understand how important that one pip shift was and why it's so important? If so, brownie points. If not, back to the drawing board.
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| XGID=-bDDB-D---------bbbbbbAa--:0:0:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10 | |||||
| Blue on roll, cube action? | |||||
| Analyzed in Rollout | No double | Double/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 78.00% (G:8.24% B:0.22%) | 79.37% (G:10.04% B:0.33%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 22.00% (G:6.78% B:0.54%) | 20.63% (G:6.63% B:0.54%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.571 | +1.239 |
| Cubeful Equities | ||
| No double: | +0.750 (-0.250) | ±0.007 (+0.742..+0.757) |
| Double/Take: | +1.126 (+0.126) | ±0.013 (+1.113..+1.139) |
| Double/Pass: | +1.000 | |
| Best Cube action: Double / Pass | ||
| Rollout details | ||
| 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller | ||
| Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% | |
| Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% | |
| Duration: 22.4 seconds | ||
Variant
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| XGID=-bDDB-D---------bbbbbbA-a-:0:0:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10 | |||||
| Blue on roll, cube action? | |||||
| Analyzed in Rollout | No double | Double/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 73.02% (G:7.74% B:0.23%) | 74.61% (G:9.06% B:0.31%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 26.98% (G:8.53% B:0.71%) | 25.39% (G:8.19% B:0.71%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.448 | +0.994 |
| Cubeful Equities | ||
| No double: | +0.621 (-0.245) | ±0.008 (+0.613..+0.629) |
| Double/Take: | +0.866 | ±0.014 (+0.852..+0.880) |
| Double/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.134) | |
| Best Cube action: Double / Take | ||
| Rollout details | ||
| 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller | ||
| Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% | |
| Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% | |
| Duration: 22.9 seconds | ||