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31P-53P-64S-22 and variant

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Saturday, 24 October 2026, at 12:55 a.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 9-29-26 - Rollout (Stick)

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 153 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 159 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-B--DaB---dE--ab-db---B-:0:0:1:22:0:0:3:0:10
31P-53P-64S-22

1.	Rollout1	6/4(2) 3/1*(2)	eq: -0.030
	Player: Opponent: 47.25% (G:20.56% B:0.58%) 52.75% (G:15.14% B:0.85%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.044...-0.016) - [100.0%] Duration: 1 minute 17 seconds
2.	Rollout1	24/22(2) 6/4(2)	eq: -0.129 (-0.099)
	Player: Opponent: 45.90% (G:13.15% B:0.53%) 54.10% (G:11.88% B:0.48%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.143...-0.114) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 31 seconds
3.	Rollout1	13/11(2) 6/4(2)	eq: -0.133 (-0.103)
	Player: Opponent: 46.30% (G:14.57% B:0.69%) 53.70% (G:15.37% B:0.72%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.147...-0.119) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 24 seconds
4.	Rollout1	24/22(2) 13/11(2)	eq: -0.181 (-0.151)
	Player: Opponent: 44.25% (G:13.02% B:0.46%) 55.75% (G:12.68% B:0.56%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.195...-0.168) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 29 seconds
5.	Rollout1	13/11 13/7*	eq: -0.222 (-0.192)
	Player: Opponent: 44.75% (G:15.46% B:0.91%) 55.25% (G:18.60% B:1.31%) Conf.: ± 0.017 (-0.239...-0.206) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 27 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Stick's rollout of the original position.

Below is a variant that swings the comparison of the best plays by a triple-whopping .330.

Nack

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 155 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 159 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-B-aD-B---dE--ab-db---B-:0:0:1:22:0:0:3:0:10
Variant: White's 18pt blot is on her 20pt

1.	Rollout1	24/22(2) 13/11(2)	eq: -0.092
	Player: Opponent: 46.85% (G:14.27% B:0.55%) 53.15% (G:13.03% B:0.55%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.100...-0.085) - [95.4%] Duration: 58 minutes 39 seconds
2.	Rollout1	24/22(2) 6/4(2)	eq: -0.102 (-0.009)
	Player: Opponent: 46.74% (G:13.07% B:0.52%) 53.26% (G:12.45% B:0.52%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.108...-0.095) - [3.5%] Duration: 55 minutes 55 seconds
3.	Rollout2	13/11(2) 6/4(2)	eq: -0.113 (-0.021)
	Player: Opponent: 47.44% (G:14.99% B:0.76%) 52.56% (G:16.50% B:0.84%) Conf.: ± 0.017 (-0.130...-0.096) - [1.2%] Duration: 11 minutes 13 seconds
4.	Rollout2	13/9 6/4(2)	eq: -0.247 (-0.155)
	Player: Opponent: 44.01% (G:13.04% B:0.63%) 55.99% (G:17.30% B:1.03%) Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.263...-0.232) - [0.0%] Duration: 11 minutes 59 seconds
5.	Rollout2	24/22(2) 13/9	eq: -0.267 (-0.175)
	Player: Opponent: 42.81% (G:12.49% B:0.49%) 57.19% (G:14.49% B:0.66%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.281...-0.253) - [0.0%] Duration: 13 minutes 26 seconds
6.	Rollout2	24/22 13/11 6/4(2)	eq: -0.270 (-0.178)
	Player: Opponent: 43.75% (G:12.16% B:0.65%) 56.25% (G:18.10% B:0.94%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.285...-0.255) - [0.0%] Duration: 10 minutes 45 seconds
7.	Rollout2	6/4(2) 3/1*(2)	eq: -0.273 (-0.180)
	Player: Opponent: 42.97% (G:14.29% B:0.38%) 57.03% (G:17.05% B:0.77%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.288...-0.258) - [0.0%] Duration: 11 minutes 57 seconds
8.	Rollout2	24/22 13/11(3)	eq: -0.280 (-0.188)
	Player: Opponent: 43.95% (G:12.02% B:0.56%) 56.05% (G:19.02% B:0.84%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.294...-0.266) - [0.0%] Duration: 11 minutes 47 seconds
9.	Rollout2	13/5*	eq: -0.293 (-0.201)
	Player: Opponent: 43.06% (G:13.95% B:0.76%) 56.94% (G:18.63% B:1.20%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.308...-0.279) - [0.0%] Duration: 12 minutes 38 seconds
10.	Rollout2	24/22(2) 3/1*(2)	eq: -0.295 (-0.203)
	Player: Opponent: 42.08% (G:11.62% B:0.29%) 57.92% (G:13.52% B:0.56%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.308...-0.282) - [0.0%] Duration: 13 minutes 06 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 84154382 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 84154382 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

• Position of the Day 9-29-26
  Stick -- Friday, 16 October 2026, at 8:12 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 9-29-26
    Francesco -- Friday, 16 October 2026, at 8:27 p.m.
    • Position of the Day 9-29-26
      Frank Berger -- Saturday, 17 October 2026, at 2:13 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 9-29-26
    John O'Hagan -- Friday, 16 October 2026, at 8:37 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 9-29-26
    ah_clem -- Friday, 16 October 2026, at 10:03 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 9-29-26
    Elizabeth (erichktn @ DG) -- Saturday, 17 October 2026, at 2:46 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 9-29-26
    Chuck Bower -- Saturday, 17 October 2026, at 4:57 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 9-29-26
    pierrez -- Monday, 19 October 2026, at 3:47 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 9-29-26 - Rollout
    Stick -- Tuesday, 20 October 2026, at 12:37 a.m.
    • Position of the Day 9-29-26 - Rollout
      Elizabeth (erichktn @ DG) -- Tuesday, 20 October 2026, at 4:31 p.m.
    • 53P-64S-22, etc.
      Nack Ballard -- Saturday, 24 October 2026, at 12:43 a.m.
    • 31P-53P-64S-22 and variant
      Nack Ballard -- Saturday, 24 October 2026, at 12:55 a.m.
    • 31P-53P-64S-22 and another variant
      Nack Ballard -- Saturday, 24 October 2026, at 10:01 a.m.