        
 
        
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 163 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 160
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-a-a--E-D---eD---c-cb-A-A-:0:0:1:44:0:0:3:0:10 |
| 52S-11E-44 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 13/9(2) 8/4(2) | eq: +0.038 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 50.22% (G:16.52% B:0.87%)
49.78% (G:13.76% B:0.66%) | Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.030...+0.046) - [100.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 59 minutes |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 8/4(2) 6/2(2) | eq: +0.001 (-0.038) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 49.11% (G:16.04% B:0.53%)
50.89% (G:13.02% B:0.62%) | Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.006...+0.008) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 53 minutes |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 13/5(2) | eq: -0.004 (-0.043) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 49.07% (G:15.44% B:0.71%)
50.93% (G:12.80% B:0.56%) | Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.012...+0.003) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 01 minute |
|
| |
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 89137929
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
Above is an old rollout I found of 52S-11E-44. I'm posting it in lieu of Stick's rollout as it is a bit longer, and the difference between the first and second play is .012 wider. If his 3k result and my 5k result are averaged, then 8/4(2) 6/4(2) is an error of .033.
Below are two variants. In the first, White's 22pt checker is back on her 24pt (unsplit). In the second, White's 11E (24/22 6/5(2)) is replaced by 31P (8/5 6/5), which also means it is the same as Variant 1 except for the 8pt/6pt distribution. Although a third candidate play emerges at the top, it is essentially tied with the second-best play.
Nack
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 165 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 160
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-b----E-D---eD---c-cb-A-A-:0:0:1:44:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Variant 1: White's 22pt checker is back on her 24pt |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 8/4(2) 6/2(2) | eq: +0.093 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 50.87% (G:18.06% B:1.29%)
49.13% (G:13.37% B:0.55%) | Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.078...+0.108) - [99.8%]
Duration: 15 minutes 35 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 13/5(2) | eq: +0.062 (-0.030) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 50.37% (G:17.41% B:1.26%)
49.63% (G:13.26% B:0.58%) | Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.047...+0.077) - [0.2%]
Duration: 16 minutes 53 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 13/9(2) 8/4(2) | eq: +0.050 (-0.043) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 49.98% (G:17.39% B:1.19%)
50.02% (G:13.76% B:0.68%) | Conf.: ± 0.016 (+0.034...+0.066) - [0.0%]
Duration: 16 minutes 56 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 35112717
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
 
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 163 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 160
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-b----E-D---eD---b-db-A-A-:0:0:1:44:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Variant 2: 52S-31P-44 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 13/5(2) | eq: +0.093 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 51.54% (G:17.59% B:1.14%)
48.46% (G:13.75% B:0.56%) | Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.085...+0.101) - [68.4%]
Duration: 1 hour 03 minutes |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 8/4(2) 6/2(2) | eq: +0.090 (-0.003) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 51.34% (G:18.08% B:1.13%)
48.66% (G:13.78% B:0.60%) | Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.082...+0.098) - [31.6%]
Duration: 1 hour 00 minute |
|
| 3. | Rollout2 | 13/9(2) 8/4(2) | eq: +0.063 (-0.030) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 50.83% (G:17.99% B:1.17%)
49.17% (G:14.42% B:0.66%) | Conf.: ± 0.016 (+0.047...+0.079) - [0.0%]
Duration: 20 minutes 24 seconds |
|
| |
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 47483116
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 47483116
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|