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31P-53P-64S-22 and another variant

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Saturday, 24 October 2026, at 10:01 a.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 9-29-26 - Rollout (Stick)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 153
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 159
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-B--DaB---dE--ab-db---B-:0:0:1:22:0:0:3:0:10
31P-53P-64S-22

1.Rollout16/4(2) 3/1*(2) eq: -0.030
Player:
Opponent:		47.25% (G:20.56% B:0.58%)
52.75% (G:15.14% B:0.85%)		Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.044...-0.016) - [100.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 17 seconds
2.Rollout124/22(2) 6/4(2)eq: -0.129 (-0.099)
Player:
Opponent:		45.90% (G:13.15% B:0.53%)
54.10% (G:11.88% B:0.48%)		Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.143...-0.114) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 31 seconds
3.Rollout113/11(2) 6/4(2)eq: -0.133 (-0.103)
Player:
Opponent:		46.30% (G:14.57% B:0.69%)
53.70% (G:15.37% B:0.72%)		Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.147...-0.119) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 24 seconds
4.Rollout124/22(2) 13/11(2)eq: -0.181 (-0.151)
Player:
Opponent:		44.25% (G:13.02% B:0.46%)
55.75% (G:12.68% B:0.56%)		Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.195...-0.168) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 29 seconds
5.Rollout113/11 13/7* eq: -0.222 (-0.192)
Player:
Opponent:		44.75% (G:15.46% B:0.91%)
55.25% (G:18.60% B:1.31%)		Conf.: ± 0.017 (-0.239...-0.206) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 27 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Stick's rollout of the original position.

Below is a contrasting variant (moving White's 18pt checker in the opposite direction) that yields yet another different best play.

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 150
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 159
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-B--D-B-a-dE--ab-db---B-:0:0:1:22:0:0:3:0:10
Variant: White's 18pt checker is on her 15pt

1.Rollout113/11(2) 6/4(2)eq: -0.173
Player:
Opponent:		45.46% (G:14.27% B:0.57%)
54.54% (G:15.65% B:0.86%)		Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.187...-0.158) - [100.0%]
Duration: 16 minutes 18 seconds
2.Rollout16/4(2) 3/1*(2) eq: -0.212 (-0.040)
Player:
Opponent:		43.14% (G:16.01% B:0.38%)
56.86% (G:14.92% B:0.79%)		Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.227...-0.198) - [0.0%]
Duration: 15 minutes 52 seconds
3.Rollout124/22(2) 6/4(2)eq: -0.217 (-0.045)
Player:
Opponent:		43.64% (G:11.66% B:0.41%)
56.36% (G:11.38% B:0.52%)		Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.232...-0.203) - [0.0%]
Duration: 16 minutes 16 seconds
4.Rollout124/22 13/11 6/4(2)eq: -0.296 (-0.124)
Player:
Opponent:		42.71% (G:13.03% B:0.70%)
57.29% (G:18.03% B:0.89%)		Conf.: ± 0.017 (-0.313...-0.280) - [0.0%]
Duration: 15 minutes 21 seconds
5.Rollout113/9 6/4(2)eq: -0.302 (-0.130)
Player:
Opponent:		42.17% (G:12.24% B:0.50%)
57.83% (G:15.42% B:0.82%)		Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.317...-0.288) - [0.0%]
Duration: 16 minutes 03 seconds
6.Rollout124/22(2) 13/11(2)eq: -0.309 (-0.136)
Player:
Opponent:		41.28% (G:11.27% B:0.34%)
58.72% (G:12.73% B:0.55%)		Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.323...-0.294) - [0.0%]
Duration: 16 minutes 41 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 39417846
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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