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65R-65R-52D-61P-44 and variants

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Saturday, 31 October 2026, at 11:36 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 10-07-26 - Rollout (Stick)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 149
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 149
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a----E-D--AeD---bbe----A-:0:0:1:44:0:0:3:0:10
Original: 65R-65R-52D-61P-44

1.Rollout124/16 8/4(2)eq: +0.384
Player:
Opponent:		60.41% (G:10.18% B:0.22%)
39.59% (G:6.67% B:0.22%)		Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.371...+0.397) - [100.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 18 seconds
2.Rollout18/4(2) 6/2(2)eq: +0.320 (-0.065)
Player:
Opponent:		57.05% (G:17.79% B:0.41%)
42.95% (G:8.65% B:0.32%)		Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.308...+0.332) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 04 seconds
3.Rollout113/9(2) 8/4(2)eq: +0.295 (-0.090)
Player:
Opponent:		56.78% (G:16.46% B:0.43%)
43.22% (G:8.86% B:0.43%)		Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.283...+0.306) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 06 seconds
4.Rollout113/5(2)eq: +0.271 (-0.113)
Player:
Opponent:		56.26% (G:15.69% B:0.40%)
43.74% (G:8.16% B:0.36%)		Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.258...+0.284) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 05 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Stick's rollout of the original position.

Below are variants. Altogether, four positions with four different best plays represented.

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 151
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 149
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a----E-D--AeD---d-e----A-:0:0:1:44:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 1: 65R-65R-52D-41T-44

1.Rollout18/4(2) 6/2(2)eq: +0.557
Player:
Opponent:		62.13% (G:20.06% B:0.42%)
37.87% (G:6.92% B:0.25%)		Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.544...+0.571) - [99.8%]
Duration: 8 minutes 12 seconds
2.Rollout124/16 8/4(2)eq: +0.528 (-0.029)
Player:
Opponent:		63.78% (G:12.15% B:0.30%)
36.22% (G:5.99% B:0.20%)		Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.515...+0.540) - [0.1%]
Duration: 10 minutes 07 seconds
3.Rollout113/9(2) 8/4(2)eq: +0.526 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent:		61.79% (G:19.62% B:0.52%)
38.21% (G:7.31% B:0.29%)		Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.511...+0.541) - [0.1%]
Duration: 9 minutes 12 seconds
4.Rollout113/5(2)eq: +0.494 (-0.063)
Player:
Opponent:		61.36% (G:18.18% B:0.52%)
38.64% (G:7.02% B:0.27%)		Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.479...+0.508) - [0.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 45 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 67420521
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 149
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 156
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a----D-D--AeE---bbe----A-:0:0:1:44:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 2: A Blue 6pt spare is on her 13pt

1.Rollout124/16 13/9(2)eq: +0.258
Player:
Opponent:		57.52% (G:7.63% B:0.21%)
42.48% (G:7.68% B:0.22%)		Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.248...+0.268) - [100.0%]
Duration: 22 minutes 37 seconds
2.Rollout124/16 8/4(2)eq: +0.233 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:		56.51% (G:8.45% B:0.23%)
43.49% (G:7.06% B:0.21%)		Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.225...+0.241) - [0.0%]
Duration: 20 minutes 52 seconds
3.Rollout213/9(2) 8/4(2)eq: +0.227 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent:		55.82% (G:14.29% B:0.41%)
44.18% (G:9.56% B:0.37%)		Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.214...+0.240) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 29 seconds
4.Rollout213/5(2)eq: +0.212 (-0.045)
Player:
Opponent:		54.76% (G:13.98% B:0.34%)
45.24% (G:8.72% B:0.29%)		Conf.: ± 0.016 (+0.196...+0.228) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 20 seconds
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 52343305
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 52343305
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 127
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 149
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a----E-D--AcD---bbe---bA-:0:0:1:44:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 3: Two White 13pt spares are on her 2pt

1.Rollout113/9(2) 8/4(2)eq: -0.128
Player:
Opponent:		47.07% (G:11.18% B:0.41%)
52.93% (G:14.73% B:0.48%)		Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.134...-0.122) - [89.3%]
Duration: 14 minutes 13 seconds
2.Rollout124/16 8/4(2)eq: -0.133 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		46.69% (G:7.29% B:0.27%)
53.31% (G:12.83% B:0.30%)		Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.139...-0.128) - [10.6%]
Duration: 14 minutes 50 seconds
3.Rollout28/4(2) 6/2(2)eq: -0.143 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:		46.56% (G:11.77% B:0.32%)
53.44% (G:14.38% B:0.40%)		Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.152...-0.135) - [0.1%]
Duration: 5 minutes 20 seconds
4.Rollout313/5(2)eq: -0.183 (-0.055)
Player:
Opponent:		45.70% (G:10.07% B:0.31%)
54.30% (G:13.99% B:0.42%)		Conf.: ± 0.018 (-0.201...-0.165) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 48 seconds
5.Rollout324/16 13/9(2)eq: -0.187 (-0.059)
Player:
Opponent:		45.63% (G:5.86% B:0.21%)
54.37% (G:13.75% B:0.35%)		Conf.: ± 0.012 (-0.199...-0.175) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 13 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 99813067
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 99813067
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

3 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 99813067
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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