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Position of the Day 10-14-26 - Rollout
Posted By: Stick
Date: Thursday, 5 November 2026, at 6:02 a.m.
In Response To: Position of the Day 10-14-26 (Stick)
The take/pass decision is very close as many of you probably figured. I mainly posted it to note what a huge difference an extra checker past the anchor can mean in this type of position. See variant below.
        
 
          
 | | White is Player 1
score: 0
pip: 129 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 87
score: 0
Blue is Player 2 |
|
| XGID=---BBBB-AAB-A-a--cbd-bBc--:0:0:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue on roll, cube action? |
| Analyzed in Rollout | No double | Double/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 76.53% (G:4.11% B:0.03%) | 76.94% (G:4.45% B:0.03%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 23.47% (G:1.71% B:0.05%) | 23.06% (G:1.86% B:0.06%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.554 | +1.129 |
| Cubeful Equities |
| No double: | +0.949 (-0.051) | ±0.004 (+0.946..+0.953) |
| Double/Take: | +1.021 (+0.021) | ±0.005 (+1.016..+1.025) |
| Double/Pass: | +1.000 |
| |
| Best Cube action: Double / Pass |
| Rollout details |
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
| |
| Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Duration: 2 minutes 17 seconds |
Variant
| | White is Player 1
score: 0
pip: 129 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 91
score: 0
Blue is Player 2 |
|
| XGID=---BBBB-AAB-A-a--cbe-bBb--:0:0:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue on roll, cube action? |
| Analyzed in Rollout | No double | Double/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 78.79% (G:3.83% B:0.03%) | 79.56% (G:4.19% B:0.04%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 21.21% (G:1.19% B:0.02%) | 20.44% (G:1.32% B:0.04%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.602 | +1.240 |
| Cubeful Equities |
| No double: | +0.973 (-0.027) | ±0.004 (+0.969..+0.977) |
| Double/Take: | +1.136 (+0.136) | ±0.009 (+1.128..+1.145) |
| Double/Pass: | +1.000 |
| |
| Best Cube action: Double / Pass |
| Rollout details |
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
| |
| Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Duration: 31.8 seconds |
Messages In This Thread
- Position of the Day 10-14-26
Stick -- Tuesday, 3 November 2026, at 9:46 a.m.
- Position of the Day 10-14-26
John O'Hagan -- Tuesday, 3 November 2026, at 1:15 p.m.
- Position of the Day 10-14-26
Colin Owen -- Tuesday, 3 November 2026, at 5:24 p.m.
- Position of the Day 10-14-26
Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 3 November 2026, at 6:48 p.m.
- Position of the Day 10-14-26
OpenWheel -- Tuesday, 3 November 2026, at 8:30 p.m.
- Position of the Day 10-14-26
ah_clem -- Wednesday, 4 November 2026, at 1:41 p.m.
- Position of the Day 10-14-26 - Rollout
Stick -- Thursday, 5 November 2026, at 6:02 a.m.
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