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BGonline.org Forums
Position of the Day 10-17-26 - Easy Math
Posted By: John O'Hagan In Response To: Position of the Day 10-17-26 - Easy Math (Stick)
Date: Friday, 6 November 2026, at 1:05 p.m.
Don't know how "easy" this math is but R/T looks correct. 1) Blue doesn't roll D3 or better and White rolls a set: 32/36 x 6/36 = 192/1296. 2) Blue rolls 21, White rolls a non-set, Blue rolls one of the 19 losers: 2/36 x 30/36 x 19/36 = ~32/1296. 3) Blue rolls an ace other than 21, White rolls a non-set, Blue rolls an ace: 9/36 x 30/36 x 11/36 = ~81/1296. 4) Blue rolls a 2 other than 22 or 21, White rolls a non-set, Blue rolls 21: 8/36 x 30/36 x 2/36 = ~13/1296.
These total 318/1296 which is a shade under 25%. However White can redouble when Blue rolls 21 which should make it a take for White.
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