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Position of the Day 10-16-26 - Rollout

Posted By: Colin Owen
Date: Sunday, 8 November 2026, at 3:55 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 10-16-26 - Rollout (Stick)

Well, as far as the also-rans are concerned, this RO paints a somewhat different picture. Two of the anchoring plays are now clear Takes, and you can eke one out for two of the others. 13/9 is now 5th, though still the best of the passes, being a Pass by 0.0431. Note this is the actual equity on a Take, not how much worse it is than the best play after a correct Pass (0.0429). Can the equities for the plays after an incorrect Take not be displayed by XG? The equities, after a Take, for the next ten plays are shown below (2592 game RO).





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 127
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 158
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-----BD-BA--cD-b-cbe---AA-:0:0:1:31:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 31

1.Rollout124/23 13/10eq: -0.9571
Player:
Opponent:
24.57% (G:2.84% B:0.09%)
75.43% (G:7.00% B:0.23%)
Conf.: ±0.0022 (-0.9593...-0.9549) - [100.0%]
Duration: 22 minutes 27 seconds
2.Rollout124/23 6/3eq: -0.9727 (-0.0156)
Player:
Opponent:
24.35% (G:2.82% B:0.09%)
75.65% (G:7.22% B:0.24%)
Conf.: ±0.0022 (-0.9749...-0.9705) - [0.0%]
Duration: 22 minutes 15 seconds
3.Rollout124/23 8/5eq: -0.9932 (-0.0361)
Player:
Opponent:
23.95% (G:2.83% B:0.09%)
76.05% (G:7.35% B:0.26%)
Conf.: ±0.0022 (-0.9954...-0.9911) - [0.0%]
Duration: 20 minutes 57 seconds
4.Rollout124/23 9/6eq: -0.9979 (-0.0408)
Player:
Opponent:
23.86% (G:2.75% B:0.09%)
76.14% (G:7.42% B:0.24%)
Conf.: ±0.0022 (-1.0001...-0.9957) - [0.0%]
Duration: 20 minutes 17 seconds
5.Rollout213/9eq: -1.0000 (-0.0429)
Player:
Opponent:
25.34% (G:3.93% B:0.15%)
74.66% (G:14.99% B:0.37%)
Conf.: ±0.0000 (-1.0000...-1.0000) - [0.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 07 seconds
1 46656 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 21976511
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 15552 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 21976511
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

23/22 13/10 -1.0604

13/10 6/5 -1.0862

13/10 9/8 -1.0983

23/22 6/3 -1.1013

9/8 6/3 -1.1219

9/5 -1.1257

6/5 6/3 -1.1320

8/4 -1.1344

13/10 8/7 -1.1354

23/20 6/5 -1.1368

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