PotD 10-16-26 - Variants

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PotD 10-16-26 - Variants

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Sunday, 8 November 2026, at 7:08 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 10-16-26 - Rollout (Stick)

White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 127

Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver

pip: 158
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=-----BD-BA--cD-b-cbe---AA-:0:0:1:31:0:0:3:0:10
Original position

1. Rollout¹ 24/23 13/10 eq: -0.957
Player:
Opponent: 24.50% (G:2.82% B:0.08%)
75.50% (G:7.01% B:0.23%) Conf.: ą 0.012 (-0.969...-0.944) - [100.0%]
Duration: 47.3 seconds
2. Rollout¹ 13/9 eq: -1.000 (-0.043)
Player:
Opponent: 25.34% (G:3.85% B:0.15%)
74.66% (G:15.04% B:0.38%) Conf.: ą 0.000 (-1.000...-1.000) - [0.0%]
Duration: 46.4 seconds
3. Rollout¹ 13/10 6/5 eq: -1.000 (-0.043)
Player:
Opponent: 25.01% (G:4.06% B:0.13%)
74.99% (G:15.68% B:0.50%) Conf.: ą 0.000 (-1.000...-1.000) - [0.0%]
Duration: 44.7 seconds
4. Rollout¹ 23/22 13/10 eq: -1.000 (-0.043)
Player:
Opponent: 24.99% (G:3.94% B:0.14%)
75.01% (G:15.59% B:0.51%) Conf.: ą 0.000 (-1.000...-1.000) - [0.0%]
Duration: 50.9 seconds
5. Rollout¹ 23/20 6/5 eq: -1.000 (-0.043)
Player:
Opponent: 24.78% (G:4.12% B:0.16%)
75.22% (G:18.45% B:0.43%) Conf.: ą 0.000 (-1.000...-1.000) - [0.0%]
Duration: 52.2 seconds

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Stick's rollout of the original position.
Below are variants. Altogether, three positions with three different best plays represented.
Nack

White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 131

Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver

pip: 158
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=-----BD-BA--cD-bbc-e---AA-:0:0:1:31:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 1: White's 7pt is changed to her 9pt

1. Rollout¹ 13/9 eq: -0.900
Player:
Opponent: 27.17% (G:4.29% B:0.16%)
72.83% (G:12.40% B:0.36%) Conf.: ą 0.008 (-0.907...-0.892) - [100.0%]
Duration: 21 minutes 15 seconds
2. Rollout¹ 13/10 6/5 eq: -0.917 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent: 27.06% (G:4.47% B:0.17%)
72.94% (G:13.11% B:0.52%) Conf.: ą 0.007 (-0.924...-0.910) - [0.0%]
Duration: 20 minutes 00 second
3. Rollout² 13/10 9/8 eq: -0.931 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent: 26.71% (G:4.31% B:0.16%)
73.29% (G:12.96% B:0.44%) Conf.: ą 0.014 (-0.946...-0.917) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 38 seconds
4. Rollout² 24/23 13/10 eq: -0.938 (-0.038)
Player:
Opponent: 24.86% (G:3.27% B:0.11%)
75.14% (G:7.50% B:0.31%) Conf.: ą 0.013 (-0.951...-0.925) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 10 seconds
5. Rollout² 9/5 eq: -0.961 (-0.062)
Player:
Opponent: 26.10% (G:4.02% B:0.15%)
73.90% (G:12.53% B:0.35%) Conf.: ą 0.013 (-0.974...-0.948) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 02 seconds
6. Rollout² 23/22 13/10 eq: -0.971 (-0.071)
Player:
Opponent: 26.50% (G:4.02% B:0.14%)
73.50% (G:13.89% B:0.57%) Conf.: ą 0.014 (-0.984...-0.957) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 17 seconds

¹ 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 78835362
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

² 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 78835362
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 135

Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver

pip: 158
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=-----BD-BA--cDbb-c-e---AA-:0:0:1:31:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 2: White's 7pt is changed to her 11pt

1. Rollout¹ 23/22 13/10 eq: -0.795
Player:
Opponent: 29.08% (G:4.73% B:0.17%)
70.92% (G:11.90% B:0.43%) Conf.: ą 0.005 (-0.800...-0.789) - [86.3%]
Duration: 24 minutes 17 seconds
2. Rollout¹ 13/9 eq: -0.799 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent: 28.76% (G:4.52% B:0.16%)
71.24% (G:10.64% B:0.33%) Conf.: ą 0.006 (-0.806...-0.793) - [13.7%]
Duration: 22 minutes 03 seconds
3. Rollout² 13/10 6/5 eq: -0.815 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent: 28.80% (G:4.80% B:0.18%)
71.20% (G:11.82% B:0.42%) Conf.: ą 0.011 (-0.826...-0.804) - [0.0%]
Duration: 9 minutes 13 seconds
4. Rollout³ 13/10 9/8 eq: -0.830 (-0.035)
Player:
Opponent: 28.04% (G:4.48% B:0.17%)
71.96% (G:11.14% B:0.43%) Conf.: ą 0.014 (-0.843...-0.816) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 38 seconds
5. Rollout³ 23/22 6/3 eq: -0.842 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent: 28.58% (G:4.70% B:0.18%)
71.42% (G:12.80% B:0.49%) Conf.: ą 0.015 (-0.856...-0.827) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 48 seconds
6. Rollout³ 9/5 eq: -0.851 (-0.056)
Player:
Opponent: 27.80% (G:4.32% B:0.15%)
72.20% (G:11.29% B:0.39%) Conf.: ą 0.014 (-0.865...-0.837) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 24 seconds
7. Rollout³ 6/5 6/3 eq: -0.860 (-0.065)
Player:
Opponent: 27.78% (G:4.39% B:0.16%)
72.22% (G:11.83% B:0.52%) Conf.: ą 0.019 (-0.879...-0.841) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 27 seconds
8. Rollout³ 23/22 8/5 eq: -0.865 (-0.070)
Player:
Opponent: 27.71% (G:4.45% B:0.16%)
72.29% (G:12.32% B:0.48%) Conf.: ą 0.014 (-0.879...-0.851) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 50 seconds
9. Rollout³ 13/10 8/7 eq: -0.866 (-0.071)
Player:
Opponent: 27.55% (G:4.44% B:0.16%)
72.45% (G:11.57% B:0.61%) Conf.: ą 0.014 (-0.879...-0.852) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 25 seconds
10. Rollout³ 23/22 9/6 eq: -0.868 (-0.073)
Player:
Opponent: 27.75% (G:4.36% B:0.17%)
72.25% (G:12.27% B:0.41%) Conf.: ą 0.012 (-0.881...-0.856) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 07 seconds
11. Rollout³ 8/4 eq: -0.870 (-0.075)
Player:
Opponent: 27.51% (G:4.58% B:0.15%)
72.49% (G:11.97% B:0.63%) Conf.: ą 0.017 (-0.888...-0.853) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 53 seconds
12. Rollout³ 24/21 6/5 eq: -0.880 (-0.085)
Player:
Opponent: 27.99% (G:4.42% B:0.17%)
72.01% (G:13.15% B:0.35%) Conf.: ą 0.013 (-0.893...-0.867) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 44 seconds
13. Rollout³ 24/23 13/10 eq: -0.881 (-0.086)
Player:
Opponent: 26.46% (G:3.46% B:0.10%)
73.54% (G:8.02% B:0.29%) Conf.: ą 0.012 (-0.893...-0.869) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 29 seconds

¹ 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 39128691
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

² 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 39128691
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

³ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 39128691
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

Position of the Day 10-16-26
Stick -- Thursday, 5 November 2026, at 6:07 a.m.
- Position of the Day 10-16-26
  Francesco -- Thursday, 5 November 2026, at 10:31 a.m.
- Position of the Day 10-16-26
  OpenWheel -- Thursday, 5 November 2026, at 6:21 p.m.
- Position of the Day 10-16-26
  John O'Hagan -- Thursday, 5 November 2026, at 7:54 p.m.
- Position of the Day 10-16-26
  Chuck Bower -- Thursday, 5 November 2026, at 7:55 p.m.
- Position of the Day 10-16-26
  ah_clem -- Thursday, 5 November 2026, at 8:04 p.m.
- Position of the Day 10-16-26
  Neil Robins -- Friday, 6 November 2026, at 1:20 a.m.
- Position of the Day 10-16-26
  Elizabeth (erichktn @ DG) -- Friday, 6 November 2026, at 5:04 p.m.
- Position of the Day 10-16-26 - Rollout
  Stick -- Saturday, 7 November 2026, at 10:34 a.m.
  - Position of the Day 10-16-26 - Rollout
    Colin Owen -- Sunday, 8 November 2026, at 3:55 p.m.
  - PotD 10-16-26 - Variants
    Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 8 November 2026, at 7:08 p.m.

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