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Position of the Day 10-18-26 - Rollout #everyone

Posted By: Stick
Date: Monday, 9 November 2026, at 8:48 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 10-18-26 (Stick)

I figured some would be tempted by developing the still stacked midpoint while hitting, 10 4*. While often correct when the opponent has builders/blots in the outfield it is often right to swipe both in order to buy yourself time to get at those outfield men. See variant below (53P-31P-53S-43?) where we've simply picked up our opponent's 9pt checker to his 8pt.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 152
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 163
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a--aBD-B---dE--ab-d--b-B-:0:0:1:43:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 43

1.Rollout18/4* 4/1* eq: -0.044
Player:
Opponent:		48.70% (G:17.97% B:0.71%)
51.30% (G:17.66% B:1.30%)		Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.061...-0.028) - [99.8%]
Duration: 55.2 seconds
2.Rollout18/5 8/4* eq: -0.078 (-0.034)
Player:
Opponent:		48.41% (G:15.89% B:0.77%)
51.59% (G:17.46% B:1.29%)		Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.094...-0.063) - [0.1%]
Duration: 53.3 seconds
3.Rollout113/10 8/4* eq: -0.090 (-0.046)
Player:
Opponent:		48.87% (G:16.38% B:0.83%)
51.13% (G:19.82% B:2.11%)		Conf.: ± 0.018 (-0.108...-0.072) - [0.0%]
Duration: 55.0 seconds
4.Rollout124/21 24/20eq: -0.094 (-0.050)
Player:
Opponent:		48.50% (G:12.70% B:0.68%)
51.50% (G:17.67% B:0.61%)		Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.109...-0.080) - [0.0%]
Duration: 55.2 seconds
5.Rollout124/21 8/4* eq: -0.123 (-0.079)
Player:
Opponent:		48.37% (G:14.89% B:0.75%)
51.63% (G:19.78% B:1.54%)		Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.140...-0.107) - [0.0%]
Duration: 56.8 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Variant
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 151
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 163
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a--aBD-B---dE---c-d--b-B-:0:0:1:43:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 43

1.Rollout124/21 24/20eq: -0.070
Player:
Opponent:		48.69% (G:11.55% B:0.50%)
51.31% (G:14.40% B:0.53%)		Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.077...-0.063) - [48.8%]
Duration: 4 minutes 52 seconds
2.Rollout113/10 8/4* eq: -0.071 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		49.18% (G:15.85% B:0.64%)
50.82% (G:18.70% B:1.93%)		Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.080...-0.062) - [40.5%]
Duration: 4 minutes 50 seconds
3.Rollout18/5 8/4* eq: -0.075 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		48.33% (G:15.71% B:0.59%)
51.67% (G:16.80% B:1.21%)		Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.083...-0.066) - [9.9%]
Duration: 4 minutes 40 seconds
4.Rollout18/4* 4/1* eq: -0.080 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:		48.01% (G:17.07% B:0.48%)
51.99% (G:17.31% B:1.23%)		Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.088...-0.072) - [0.8%]
Duration: 4 minutes 47 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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