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Position of the Day 10-19-26 - Hit or too soon? - Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Tuesday, 10 November 2026, at 7:30 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 10-19-26 - Hit or too soon? (Stick)

Indeed too soon but move a checker from our midpoint to our eight point as in the variant shown below and we can hit. It worsens our timing a bit and obviously allows us to make the 3pt while maintaining the 8pt.

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 101 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 174 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=---AB-C-B----C-b-cbdcaBB--:1:1:1:52:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 52

1.	Rollout1	13/11 8/3	eq: -0.306
	Player: Opponent: 37.37% (G:3.78% B:0.12%) 62.63% (G:23.47% B:1.14%) Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.315...-0.298) - [100.0%] Duration: 38.7 seconds
2.	Rollout1	23/21* 8/3	eq: -0.377 (-0.071)
	Player: Opponent: 34.72% (G:6.34% B:0.22%) 65.28% (G:25.83% B:1.30%) Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.387...-0.367) - [0.0%] Duration: 49.5 seconds
3.	Rollout1	23/21* 21/16	eq: -0.425 (-0.119)
	Player: Opponent: 34.46% (G:6.13% B:0.22%) 65.54% (G:30.49% B:1.41%) Conf.: ± 0.011 (-0.436...-0.414) - [0.0%] Duration: 58.0 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

---

Variant

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 101 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 169 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=---AB-C-C----B-b-cbdcaBB--:1:1:1:52:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 52

1.	Rollout1	23/21* 8/3	eq: -0.321
	Player: Opponent: 35.24% (G:7.49% B:0.27%) 64.76% (G:22.92% B:1.17%) Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.332...-0.311) - [100.0%] Duration: 43.2 seconds
2.	Rollout1	13/11 8/3	eq: -0.382 (-0.060)
	Player: Opponent: 34.10% (G:3.24% B:0.12%) 65.90% (G:21.99% B:0.97%) Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.391...-0.372) - [0.0%] Duration: 31.5 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

• Position of the Day 10-19-26 - Hit or too soon?
  Stick -- Monday, 9 November 2026, at 8:19 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 10-19-26 - Hit or too soon?
    ah_clem -- Monday, 9 November 2026, at 9:49 p.m.
    • Position of the Day 10-19-26 - Hit or too soon?
      Stick -- Monday, 9 November 2026, at 11:20 p.m.
      • Position of the Day 10-19-26 - Hit or too soon?
        ah_clem -- Tuesday, 10 November 2026, at 2:28 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 10-19-26 - Hit or too soon?
    John O'Hagan -- Monday, 9 November 2026, at 10:36 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 10-19-26 - Hit or too soon?
    Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 10 November 2026, at 2:33 a.m.
  • Position of the Day 10-19-26 - Hit or too soon? - Rollout
    Stick -- Tuesday, 10 November 2026, at 7:30 p.m.
    • Hit or too soon? - Variant
      Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 11 November 2026, at 4:46 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 10-19-26 - Hit or too soon?
    Elizabeth (erichktn @ DG) -- Tuesday, 10 November 2026, at 10:41 p.m.