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Hit or too soon? - Variant

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Wednesday, 11 November 2026, at 4:46 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 10-19-26 - Hit or too soon? - Rollout (Stick)

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 101 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 174 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=---AB-C-B----C-b-cbdcaBB--:1:1:1:52:0:0:3:0:10
Original position

1.	Rollout1	13/11 8/3	eq: -0.306
	Player: Opponent: 37.37% (G:3.78% B:0.12%) 62.63% (G:23.47% B:1.14%) Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.315...-0.298) - [100.0%] Duration: 38.7 seconds
2.	Rollout1	23/21* 8/3	eq: -0.377 (-0.071)
	Player: Opponent: 34.72% (G:6.34% B:0.22%) 65.28% (G:25.83% B:1.30%) Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.387...-0.367) - [0.0%] Duration: 49.5 seconds
3.	Rollout1	23/21* 21/16	eq: -0.425 (-0.119)
	Player: Opponent: 34.46% (G:6.13% B:0.22%) 65.54% (G:30.49% B:1.41%) Conf.: ± 0.011 (-0.436...-0.414) - [0.0%] Duration: 58.0 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Stick's rollout of the original position.

Below is a highly contrasting variant, a double-whopper swing.

Nack

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 105 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 174 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=---AB-C-B----C-bbc-dcaBB--:1:1:1:52:0:0:3:0:10
Variant: White's 7pt is changed to her 9pt

1.	Rollout1	23/21* 8/3	eq: -0.302
	Player: Opponent: 36.12% (G:7.46% B:0.27%) 63.88% (G:23.18% B:1.13%) Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.312...-0.292) - [100.0%] Duration: 2 minutes 59 seconds
2.	Rollout1	23/21* 13/8	eq: -0.385 (-0.083)
	Player: Opponent: 34.99% (G:6.64% B:0.30%) 65.01% (G:28.43% B:1.49%) Conf.: ± 0.011 (-0.396...-0.374) - [0.0%] Duration: 3 minutes 22 seconds
3.	Rollout1	13/11 8/3	eq: -0.443 (-0.141)
	Player: Opponent: 31.95% (G:2.80% B:0.09%) 68.05% (G:22.39% B:1.09%) Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.452...-0.434) - [0.0%] Duration: 2 minutes 13 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 77551659 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

• Position of the Day 10-19-26 - Hit or too soon?
  Stick -- Monday, 9 November 2026, at 8:19 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 10-19-26 - Hit or too soon?
    ah_clem -- Monday, 9 November 2026, at 9:49 p.m.
    • Position of the Day 10-19-26 - Hit or too soon?
      Stick -- Monday, 9 November 2026, at 11:20 p.m.
      • Position of the Day 10-19-26 - Hit or too soon?
        ah_clem -- Tuesday, 10 November 2026, at 2:28 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 10-19-26 - Hit or too soon?
    John O'Hagan -- Monday, 9 November 2026, at 10:36 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 10-19-26 - Hit or too soon?
    Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 10 November 2026, at 2:33 a.m.
  • Position of the Day 10-19-26 - Hit or too soon? - Rollout
    Stick -- Tuesday, 10 November 2026, at 7:30 p.m.
    • Hit or too soon? - Variant
      Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 11 November 2026, at 4:46 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 10-19-26 - Hit or too soon?
    Elizabeth (erichktn @ DG) -- Tuesday, 10 November 2026, at 10:41 p.m.