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Rollout if Stick plays bar/18

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Tuesday, 22 July 2008, at 5:36 p.m.

In Response To: Rollout (neilkaz)

Clear take based on owning a 4 cube at this score.

The score (after 0 games) is: Neil 3, Stick 1 (match to 13 points)

Move number 5: Neil on roll, cube decision?

Neil	125
Stick	109
Position ID: 7tyAQRBsd8CwAA Match ID: AQGgATAACAAA

• Neil doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.600	(Money: +0.617)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.874
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	+0.126
3.	No double	+0.745	-0.129
Proper cube action:		Redouble, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player Neil owns 2-cube 0.699 0.318 0.013 - 0.301 0.111 0.002 +0.600 +0.745 Standard error 0.002 0.004 0.001 - 0.002 0.002 0.001 0.007 0.012 Player Stick owns 4-cube 0.715 0.317 0.014 - 0.285 0.115 0.005 +1.217 +0.874 Standard error 0.003 0.006 0.002 - 0.003 0.003 0.002 0.017 0.023
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
386 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 833379781 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Neil v. Stick Novi Finals (Game 4) #17
  Stick -- Sunday, 20 July 2008, at 8:17 a.m.
  • Rollout
    Stick -- Tuesday, 22 July 2008, at 6:18 a.m.
    • Rollout
      David Montgomery -- Tuesday, 22 July 2008, at 7:02 a.m.
      • Rollout
        David Montgomery -- Tuesday, 22 July 2008, at 7:10 a.m.
        • Rollout
          Ian Dunstan -- Tuesday, 22 July 2008, at 8:13 a.m.
      • Rollout
        neilkaz -- Tuesday, 22 July 2008, at 11:16 a.m.
        • Rollout if Stick plays bar/18
          neilkaz -- Tuesday, 22 July 2008, at 5:36 p.m.
          • Rollout if Stick plays bar/18
            Stick -- Tuesday, 22 July 2008, at 5:40 p.m.
          • Rollout if Stick plays bar/18
            David Montgomery -- Tuesday, 22 July 2008, at 5:47 p.m.
            • Rollout if Stick plays bar/18
              Stick -- Tuesday, 22 July 2008, at 5:59 p.m.
            • Rollout if Stick plays bar/18
              neilkaz -- Tuesday, 22 July 2008, at 6:03 p.m.
              • Quick rollout and eval after 6/1
                neilkaz -- Tuesday, 22 July 2008, at 6:07 p.m.
                • Quick rollout and eval after 6/1
                  David Montgomery -- Tuesday, 22 July 2008, at 8:19 p.m.
                  • Quick rollout and eval after 6/1
                    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 22 July 2008, at 10:16 p.m.
              • Rollout if Stick plays bar/18
                Stick -- Tuesday, 22 July 2008, at 6:09 p.m.
                • Rollout if Stick plays bar/18
                  neilkaz -- Tuesday, 22 July 2008, at 6:18 p.m.
    • Rollout
      jdg -- Tuesday, 22 July 2008, at 1:07 p.m.