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Quick rollout and eval after 6/1

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Tuesday, 22 July 2008, at 6:07 p.m.

In Response To: Rollout if Stick plays bar/18 (neilkaz)

The score (after 0 games) is: Neil 3, Stick 1 (match to 13 points)

Move number 6: Neil on roll, cube decision?

Neil	125
Stick	109
Position ID: 3bmAARhsd8CwAA Match ID: AQGgATAACAAA

• Neil doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.650	(Money: +0.672)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, pass	+1.000
2.	Double, take	+1.095	+0.095
3.	No double	+0.959	-0.041
Proper cube action:		Redouble, pass
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player Neil owns 2-cube 0.746 0.202 0.017 - 0.254 0.039 0.000 +0.650 +0.959 Standard error 0.004 0.008 0.008 - 0.004 0.003 0.002 0.012 0.023 Player Stick owns 4-cube 0.759 0.222 0.022 - 0.241 0.036 0.000 +1.348 +1.095 Standard error 0.005 0.010 0.008 - 0.005 0.004 0.002 0.025 0.032
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
118 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 833379781 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

The score (after 0 games) is: Neil 3, Stick 1 (match to 13 points)

Move number 6: Neil on roll, cube decision?

Neil	125
Stick	109
Position ID: 3bmAARhsd8CwAA Match ID: AQGgATAACAAA

• Neil doubles

Alert: wrong double ( -0.006)!

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0.611	(Money: +0.613)
	0.722 0.217 0.006 - 0.278 0.053 0.000
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.852
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	+0.148
3.	Double, take	+0.847	-0.006
Proper cube action:		No redouble, take (3.7%)

Messages In This Thread

• Neil v. Stick Novi Finals (Game 4) #17
  Stick -- Sunday, 20 July 2008, at 8:17 a.m.
  • Rollout
    Stick -- Tuesday, 22 July 2008, at 6:18 a.m.
    • Rollout
      David Montgomery -- Tuesday, 22 July 2008, at 7:02 a.m.
      • Rollout
        David Montgomery -- Tuesday, 22 July 2008, at 7:10 a.m.
        • Rollout
          Ian Dunstan -- Tuesday, 22 July 2008, at 8:13 a.m.
      • Rollout
        neilkaz -- Tuesday, 22 July 2008, at 11:16 a.m.
        • Rollout if Stick plays bar/18
          neilkaz -- Tuesday, 22 July 2008, at 5:36 p.m.
          • Rollout if Stick plays bar/18
            Stick -- Tuesday, 22 July 2008, at 5:40 p.m.
          • Rollout if Stick plays bar/18
            David Montgomery -- Tuesday, 22 July 2008, at 5:47 p.m.
            • Rollout if Stick plays bar/18
              Stick -- Tuesday, 22 July 2008, at 5:59 p.m.
            • Rollout if Stick plays bar/18
              neilkaz -- Tuesday, 22 July 2008, at 6:03 p.m.
              • Quick rollout and eval after 6/1
                neilkaz -- Tuesday, 22 July 2008, at 6:07 p.m.
                • Quick rollout and eval after 6/1
                  David Montgomery -- Tuesday, 22 July 2008, at 8:19 p.m.
                  • Quick rollout and eval after 6/1
                    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 22 July 2008, at 10:16 p.m.
              • Rollout if Stick plays bar/18
                Stick -- Tuesday, 22 July 2008, at 6:09 p.m.
                • Rollout if Stick plays bar/18
                  neilkaz -- Tuesday, 22 July 2008, at 6:18 p.m.
    • Rollout
      jdg -- Tuesday, 22 July 2008, at 1:07 p.m.