[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Sunday, 4 February 2007, at 9:11 p.m.

In Response To: Is Snowie Crazy or just plain GOOOOD? (Stick)

GNU thinks the best two plays are blunders and whoppers w/the works coming in .122 and .225 behind its best play on 2 ply. Snowie 3 ply nails the 2 best plays... just one isolated example of why I'd trust Snowie 7 days a week and twice on Sundays in backgame play (both for and against) long before GNU. [usually when Snowie gets a backgame problem 'wrong' according to the rollout it's play is a small error, not this kind of stuff] I agree with Snowie's play the tough part is seeing it OTB.

Money Game
234
130
Board image courtesy of GO-Figure

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 14/13 8/7(2) 4/3 0.287
2.0% 24.2% 53.3% 46.7% 9.5% 0.4%
Live cube rollout: 0.333
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.229 ±0.020, - live cube: 0.333 ±0.037. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 1296 games (equiv. 19070 games), played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply, settlement 0.550 at 16 pts, random seed, with race database.
2 R 15/14 8/7(2) 4/3 0.287 (-0.000)
2.4% 25.0% 52.5% 47.5% 8.8% 0.4%
Live cube rollout: 0.296
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.232 ±0.018, - live cube: 0.296 ±0.034. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 1296 games (equiv. 23296 games), played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply, settlement 0.550 at 16 pts, random seed, with race database.
3 R 11/9 8/7(2) 0.228 (-0.060)
3.6% 26.4% 49.1% 50.9% 8.0% 0.4%
Live cube rollout: 0.215
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.198 ±0.019, - live cube: 0.215 ±0.035. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 1296 games (equiv. 21110 games), played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply, settlement 0.550 at 16 pts, random seed, with race database.
4 R 14/13 11/10 8/7(2) 0.194 (-0.093)
3.3% 25.9% 48.4% 51.6% 8.3% 0.4%
Live cube rollout: 0.191
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.173 ±0.025, - live cube: 0.191 ±0.051. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 648 games (equiv. 11392 games), played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply, settlement 0.550 at 16 pts, seed 1, with race database.

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.