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OTB and rollout
Posted By: neilkaz In Response To: Interesting 54 play from MN (neilkaz)
Date: Sunday, 27 July 2008, at 4:15 p.m.
OTB I wasn't sure whether to hit or bring two down duping 5's and 6's. The hit works great when missed, but is can be quite bad when it fails, thus I went for the play duping most of his 5's and 6's which is two down. I felt that the other two choices weren't correct and that was shown by my initial 0-ply rollout. The 2 plt rollout of the presumed top 2 plays is TCTC.
I have to pack up and get ready to play now so I'll show you the aftermath of this game when I get home tonite.
The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 1, user 0 (match to 4 points)
Move number 4: user to play 45
Pip counts: gnubg 153, user 157
Position ID: mHOWASTYNvABMA Match ID: cAmWABAAAAAA
# Ply Move Equity 1 R 13/8 7/3* +0.3093
0.5200 0.1963 0.0216 - 0.4800 0.1917 0.0397 +0.0656 +0.3093 0.0021 0.0021 0.0023 - 0.0021 0.0029 0.0036 0.0089 0.0201 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 832686080 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2 R 13/9 13/8 +0.3027 ( -0.0066)
0.5263 0.1701 0.0211 - 0.4737 0.1784 0.0301 +0.1121 +0.3027 0.0021 0.0026 0.0023 - 0.0021 0.0033 0.0031 0.0083 0.0188 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 832686080 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3 R 13/4 +0.2210 ( -0.0883)
0.5086 0.1736 0.0158 - 0.4914 0.1603 0.0184 +0.0790 +0.2210 0.0018 0.0022 0.0016 - 0.0018 0.0023 0.0021 0.0070 0.0150 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 832686080 and quasi-random dice Play: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert] Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 4 R 24/20 13/8 +0.1910 ( -0.1184)
0.5206 0.1421 0.0139 - 0.4794 0.1703 0.0208 +0.0596 +0.1910 0.0030 0.0038 0.0024 - 0.0030 0.0045 0.0040 0.0110 0.0249 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 555 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 832686080 and quasi-random dice Play: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert] Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 5 0 7/3* 7/2 -0.0557 ( -0.3651) 0.4609 0.1672 0.0085 - 0.5391 0.1995 0.0208
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