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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Monday, 28 July 2008, at 10:05 a.m.

In Response To: Neil v. Stick Novi Finals (Game 8) #39 (Stick)

OtB I took a minute on this and my rational went something along the lines of: "Neil's board is already crunched to a 5pt board and not likely to crunch further since 5s are killed and he'll run with 6s and he has two spares on the highest point. Since I can't make him crack any more I'll play safe and try to win the game."

What did I miss? The big gammon difference. I was worried about immediate blot leaving numbers whereas if I keep the 5pt board I win almost twice as many Gs. There will be times Neil is unable to run for many turns due to my 5 prime or if he does run I may point on him. Lesson learned for me, next time this comes up I won't overlook the G factor.

The score (after 7 games) is: Neil_Kazaross 8, Stick_Rice 3 (match to 13 points)

Move number 30: Stick_Rice to play 33

Neil_Kazaross91


2X2X3X2X4X ' ' ' ' ' ' '

2X2O3O2O2O4O2O ' ' ' ' '

Stick_Rice69

Position ID: 2+0BADB22xsAAA Match ID: QYmtAYAAGAAA

• Stick_Rice moves 7/4(2) 5/2(2)

Alert: bad move ( -0.078)

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 7/4(2) 6/off +0.997
0.9290.1310.003-0.0710.0000.000 +1.014 +0.997
0.0010.0010.000-0.0010.0000.000 0.002 0.003
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
804 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 833583536 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 7/4(2) 5/2(2) +0.919 ( -0.078)
0.9220.0770.001-0.0780.0000.000 +0.935 +0.919
0.0010.0010.000-0.0010.0000.000 0.002 0.002
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
804 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 833583536 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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