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rollout

Posted By: happyjuggler0
Date: Wednesday, 30 July 2008, at 4:52 a.m.

In Response To: cube decision (happyjuggler0)

I won't be extending the rollout. Nevertheless I think this makes for a decent reference position, noting that both neilkaz and mamabear seem to have basically derived their posts from their own reference positions.

I didn't know what to do, but my opponent was higher rated than I was so I decided to roll the dice and took the cube. Oops (see my post several posts down titled "bulletin board question"). Better luck next time.

By the way, in real life white can't be expected to play this perfectly, while in a bad case scenario blue can (and did) play it perfectly while dancing. Thus it makes for a practical take for error reasons.

The score (after 0 games) is: white 0, happyjuggler0 0 (match to 3 points)

Move number 11: white doubles to 2

Pip counts: white 130, happyjuggler0 154
Position ID: sM/gAUIzzuAJBA Match ID: MBlgAAAAAAAA

• happyjuggler0 accepts

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.615	(Money: +0.518)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.999
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	+0.001
3.	No double	+0.750	-0.249
Proper cube action:		Double, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg   Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.643 0.326 0.010 - 0.357 0.097 0.009 +0.615 +0.750 Standard error 0.001 0.003 0.001 - 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.004 0.010 Player happyjuggler0 owns 2-cube 0.643 0.346 0.018 - 0.357 0.112 0.016 +1.404 +0.999 Standard error 0.002 0.003 0.002 - 0.002 0.004 0.002 0.011 0.013
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 832864000 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

 

Messages In This Thread

• cube decision
  happyjuggler0 -- Tuesday, 29 July 2008, at 5:18 p.m.
  • cube decision
    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 29 July 2008, at 7:21 p.m.
  • cube decision
    mamabear -- Tuesday, 29 July 2008, at 8:06 p.m.
  • rollout
    happyjuggler0 -- Wednesday, 30 July 2008, at 4:52 a.m.
    • rollout
      Christian Munk-Christensen -- Wednesday, 30 July 2008, at 7:07 a.m.
      • rollout
        Stick -- Wednesday, 30 July 2008, at 7:21 a.m.
        • rollout
          happyjuggler0 -- Wednesday, 30 July 2008, at 2:44 p.m.