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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Tuesday, 6 February 2007, at 12:50 a.m.

In Response To: Stick/Weaver (Stick)

Weaver had a 4-1 to play here and surprising to me he made the bar point. I thought it was a little bit rich at the time and hoped to hit the shot and turn this game around a bit. I did hit the shot immediately with a 6-3, but then he tossed another double 5s from the bar that seemed to crush me this entire match. (every time I turned around Paul had double 5s)


Match to 11, Blue leads 6 to 5
168
149
Board image courtesy of GO-Figure

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 10/5 0.168
1.1% 18.5% 53.3% 46.7% 10.1% 0.4%
Live cube rollout: 0.188
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.157 ±0.021, - live cube: 0.188 ±0.044. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 648 games (equiv. 15869 games), played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply, random seed, with race database.
* 2 R 11/7 8/7 0.108 (-0.061)
0.9% 18.2% 51.7% 48.3% 11.3% 0.3%
Live cube rollout: 0.144
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.109 ±0.022, - live cube: 0.144 ±0.051. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 648 games (equiv. 15413 games), played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply, random seed, with race database.

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