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GNU 4 ply eval for match score and at even score..etc etc

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Tuesday, 6 February 2007, at 4:22 a.m.

In Response To: Rollout (Stick)

As one who only cares about match play, I have done a tremendous ammount of match cube study and in the long run, it may mean a couple % more matches won by me. Anyhow..I think my judgement was spot on here as from the rollout it may be a very bare money take, but is rather clear at the score. GNU under estimates how good Stick's game is.

Note that I trust the Janowski (I think or a slightly mod version) equations used for match score calc and that we can take deeper at this score since we have more recube vig than for $$ since Stick won't be whipping back any aggressive 8 cubes and will sulk and pout if we G him on 4.

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 4, user 0 (match to 15 points)

Move number 3: gnubg on roll, cube decision?


1O ' '1O2X4X2X2X ' '2X3O

 '2O '2X '4O '4O ' ' '1X

Pip counts: gnubg 141, user 144
Position ID: hufBASKwtzEBBg Match ID: MAHgAUAAAAAA

• gnubg doubles

Cube decision
4-ply cubeless equity +0.5745(Money: +0.5568)
0.6924 0.2292 0.0075 - 0.3076 0.0633 0.0013
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, take +0.8374
2.Double, pass +1.0000 +0.1626
3.No double +0.7326 -0.1048
Proper cube action:Double, take

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0, user 0 (match to 15 points)

Move number 3: gnubg on roll, cube decision?


1O ' '1O2X4X2X2X ' '2X3O

 '2O '2X '4O '4O ' ' '1X

Pip counts: gnubg 141, user 144
Position ID: hufBASKwtzEBBg Match ID: MAHgAQAAAAAA

• gnubg doubles

Cube decision
4-ply cubeless equity +0.5613(Money: +0.5567)
0.6922 0.2297 0.0074 - 0.3078 0.0635 0.0013
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, take +0.9214
2.Double, pass +1.0000 +0.0786
3.No double +0.7628 -0.1586
Proper cube action:Double, take

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