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Rollout

Posted By: Mislav Radica
Date: Monday, 4 August 2008, at 10:29 a.m.

In Response To: OLM Sun. Aug. 3rd - Cube (Stick)

Again 3ply evaluation is the closest to rollouts results in this actually holding game when white is not so happy to has second anchor as Mary said. Blue has fine spares to attack when white, forced to avoid crunching his board, has to run leaving vulnerable blot.

The score (after 0 games) is: Stick 2, Readers 9 (match to 17 points)

Move number 6: Readers to play 56

Stick127


'2X1X2X3X2X1X ' ' ' '2O

'1O3O2X3O3O2X3O ' ' ' '

Readers94

Position ID: 1m4BMAY6dw4GAA Match ID: cIk6AiAASAAA

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0,4780(Money: +0,4878)
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, take +0,7606
2.Double, pass +1,0000 +0,2394
3.No double +0,7244 -0,0362
Proper cube action:Double, take
Rollout details
WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Centered 1-cube 69,52% 13,60% 0,16%- 30,48% 3,90% 0,11% +0,4780 +0,7244
Standard error 0,07% 0,13% 0,02%- 0,07% 0,06% 0,01% 0,0019 0,0046
Player Stick owns 2-cube 69,93% 13,37% 0,18%- 30,07% 3,82% 0,12% +1,0059 +0,7606
Standard error 0,08% 0,13% 0,03%- 0,08% 0,06% 0,01% 0,0041 0,0056
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
3888 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 834654188 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0,16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]


Annotation
2ply says double is -.002 error
3ply says nodouble is -.057 error
4ply says double is -.009 error

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