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How do you bearin when you can hit...

Posted By: bob koca
Date: Sunday, 17 August 2008, at 8:44 p.m.

In Response To: How do you bearin when you can hit... (Klaus Evers)

8 immediate shots after 9/7 7/4 is too many. What is likely to happen after 4/1 3/1? Snowie runs from the 17 point. You then have 7 joker rolls 66, 55, 44, 33, 22, 65 to wrap up the game and 1 roll (11) to improve. You have 16 rolls which give a direct shot 64, 63, 62, 61, 54, 53, 52, 51. You have 6 rolls 43, 42, 41 to give 4 shots, and 7 rolls (32, 31, 21) which repeat.

About 218/1296 shots on next sequence vs 8 immediate shots = 288/1296 is significant. The possibility of coming in on ace point I thnk gives more delayed shots after the hitting play. The extra races won from hiting would have to be almost 5% and is not there.

Bob Koca

Messages In This Thread

• How do you bearin when you can hit...
  Klaus Evers -- Sunday, 17 August 2008, at 8:08 p.m.
  • How do you bearin when you can hit...
    bob koca -- Sunday, 17 August 2008, at 8:44 p.m.
    • How do you bearin when you can hit...
      Klaus Evers -- Monday, 18 August 2008, at 4:56 a.m.
      • How do you bearin when you can hit...
        bob koca -- Monday, 18 August 2008, at 5:49 a.m.
  • How do you bearin when you can hit...
    garyo -- Tuesday, 19 August 2008, at 4:17 p.m.
    • How do you bearin when you can hit...
      Barry Silliman -- Tuesday, 19 August 2008, at 4:53 p.m.
      • Nactation
        Stick -- Tuesday, 19 August 2008, at 5:07 p.m.
        • Nactation
          Barry Silliman -- Tuesday, 19 August 2008, at 6:40 p.m.
          • Nactation
            Stick -- Tuesday, 19 August 2008, at 9:00 p.m.
            • Nactation
              Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 19 August 2008, at 9:19 p.m.
              • Nactation
                Stick -- Wednesday, 20 August 2008, at 7:31 a.m.
                • Nactation
                  Marty Storer -- Wednesday, 27 August 2008, at 1:08 p.m.
                  • Nactation
                    Stick -- Wednesday, 27 August 2008, at 1:22 p.m.
                    • Nactation
                      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Wednesday, 27 August 2008, at 3:16 p.m.
                      • Nactation
                        Stick -- Wednesday, 27 August 2008, at 4:50 p.m.
                        • Nactation
                          Barry Silliman -- Wednesday, 27 August 2008, at 6:52 p.m.
            • Nactation
              Caryl Stephanson -- Tuesday, 19 August 2008, at 10:49 p.m.
            • Nactation
              Marty Storer -- Monday, 25 August 2008, at 8:55 p.m.
              • Nactation
                Stick -- Monday, 25 August 2008, at 9:07 p.m.
                • Nactation (generation gap)
                  Marty Storer -- Wednesday, 27 August 2008, at 1:02 p.m.
          • Nactation
            MaX -- Wednesday, 20 August 2008, at 8:57 a.m.
      • How do you bearin when you can hit...
        Marty Storer -- Wednesday, 27 August 2008, at 1:15 p.m.