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WSOB #3/ RO results and comments.

Posted By: bob koca
Date: Monday, 18 August 2008, at 10:27 p.m.

In Response To: WSOB #3 (bob koca)

Like stick says the bots like to come out to 18 point. That was one error I kept seeing myself get dinged for in my practice sessions. The RO indicates a faily large error of about .09

What I saw OTB is a play that is unlikely to work since so many hitting numbers and giving a step and hit would be especially bad. I am guessing that what I should have been seeing is that if he makes the 8 point I could easily be stuck and lose a priming battle. Also "if not now then when" should have been thought.

Bob Koca

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1. Rollout 24/18 Eq.: +0.070097

0.560221 0.163869 0.023725 - 0.439779 0.126616 0.007672 CL +0.156630 CF +0.070097

[0.001862 0.005255 0.003099 - 0.001862 0.002417 0.001708 CL 0.005623 CF 0.010792]

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

1024 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 831215469 and quasi-random dice

Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

2. Rollout 24/23 8/3 Eq.: -0.023955 ( -0.094052)

0.545094 0.221662 0.026964 - 0.454906 0.160397 0.012791 CL +0.128961 CF -0.023955

[0.003133 0.011909 0.004921 - 0.003133 0.004495 0.003888 CL 0.009241 CF 0.018487]

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

386 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 831215469 and quasi-random dice

Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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