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Rollout

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Thursday, 21 August 2008, at 2:18 p.m.

In Response To: OLM Wed. Aug. 20th (Stick)

Nice position here with the rollout clearly saying that we should anchor, not giving Stick a 65, but giving him a 51 11 21 while minimizing the effects of his crushing 55. Other plays like 14/9 22/20 were .100 behind in a 180 game prelim rollout and not considered as a candidiate here. 13/8 can't be better than 14/9 so I quickly rejected it when the rollout agreed.

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 5, ntk 11 (match to 17 points)

Move number 9: ntk to play 52

gnubg	163
ntk	140
Position ID: hmfGAFhszooCJA Match ID: QYkqAlAAWAAA

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	24/22 14/9	+0.271
			0.681 0.298 0.049 - 0.319 0.075 0.004 +0.520 +0.271 0.001 0.002 0.002 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.003 0.005
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			4686 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 831223274 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	24/22 13/8	+0.217 ( -0.054)
			0.660 0.303 0.051 - 0.340 0.080 0.001 +0.476 +0.217 0.005 0.010 0.008 - 0.005 0.004 0.008 0.017 0.032
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			227 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 831223274 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	R	14/9 13/11	+0.208 ( -0.063)
			0.666 0.309 0.058 - 0.334 0.089 0.006 +0.477 +0.208 0.001 0.002 0.002 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.004 0.005
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			4684 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 831223274 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	4	22/20 14/9	+0.252 ( -0.019)
			0.677 0.318 0.039 - 0.323 0.099 0.007
	5	4	14/9 10/8	+0.234 ( -0.037)
			0.672 0.298 0.030 - 0.328 0.091 0.004

Messages In This Thread

• OLM Wed. Aug. 20th
  Stick -- Wednesday, 20 August 2008, at 10:50 a.m.
  • OLM Wed. Aug. 20th
    Havard Raddum -- Wednesday, 20 August 2008, at 11:24 a.m.
  • OLM Wed. Aug. 20th
    misja -- Wednesday, 20 August 2008, at 12:19 p.m.
  • OLM Wed. Aug. 20th
    neilkaz -- Wednesday, 20 August 2008, at 2:21 p.m.
  • OLM Wed. Aug. 20th
    Chuck Bower -- Wednesday, 20 August 2008, at 3:15 p.m.
  • Rollout in progress
    neilkaz -- Wednesday, 20 August 2008, at 3:42 p.m.
  • OLM Wed. Aug. 20th
    CamFella -- Wednesday, 20 August 2008, at 4:36 p.m.
  • OLM Wed. Aug. 20th
    Barry Silliman -- Wednesday, 20 August 2008, at 5:31 p.m.
  • OLM Wed. Aug. 20th
    Caryl Stephanson -- Thursday, 21 August 2008, at 2:19 a.m.
  • Rollout
    neilkaz -- Thursday, 21 August 2008, at 2:18 p.m.