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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Friday, 9 February 2007, at 12:27 p.m.

In Response To: OLM Wed. Feb. 7th (Stick)

6 of one, 1/2 dozen of the other. Pick 'em. I make your play too.


Match to 25, White leads 14 to 10
82
100
Board image courtesy of GO-Figure

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 12/8 12/9 -0.320
0.0% 0.5% 28.9% 71.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Live cube rollout: -0.326
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: -0.418 ±0.006, - live cube: -0.326 ±0.008. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 324 games (equiv. 91940 games), played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply, random seed, with race database.
2 R 8/1 -0.328 (-0.008)
0.1% 0.7% 28.8% 71.2% 0.9% 0.0%
Live cube rollout: -0.338
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: -0.426 ±0.009, - live cube: -0.338 ±0.011. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 324 games (equiv. 54191 games), played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply, random seed, with race database.
3 R 8/4 6/3 -0.331 (-0.011)
0.0% 0.6% 28.6% 71.4% 0.6% 0.0%
Live cube rollout: -0.341
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: -0.428 ±0.009, - live cube: -0.341 ±0.012. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 324 games (equiv. 41820 games), played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply, random seed, with race database.
4 R 12/9 8/4 -0.341 (-0.021)
0.1% 1.4% 28.9% 71.1% 2.6% 0.0%
Live cube rollout: -0.348
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: -0.433 ±0.011, - live cube: -0.348 ±0.012. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 324 games (equiv. 61478 games), played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply, random seed, with race database.

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